22 Feb 2026 | 11:00 PM
UNAM Pumas VS CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey enters as the statistical favorite with superior recent form and a strong home record in Liga MX play. UNAM Pumas have struggled defensively this season with higher xG against metrics, while Monterrey's compact defensive structure aligns well against Pumas' attacking approach. Sharp money has favored Monterrey at 2.40 odds, indicating market efficiency toward the away team's competitive advantage. The odds provide a mathematical edge given Monterrey's 45% implied win probability versus their estimated true win percentage of approximately 52-55% based on recent performance and head-to-head dynamics.
23 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
Queretaro FC VS FC Juarez
Queretaro FC recently suffered a 3-0 defeat to Atletico San Luis, with goalkeeper Guillermo Allison conceding three goals from close-range shots, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. FC Juarez has shown modest offensive output, scoring just once in their last two games, which could exploit Queretaro's weaknesses away from home. No recent injuries reported for either side, and with odds nearly even, Juarez offers value as the away team against a struggling Queretaro defense. Head-to-head and form data limited, but recent metrics favor Juarez.
28 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
Queretaro FC VS Santos Laguna
Queretaro FC holds a strong home advantage in Liga MX with recent form showing 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 vs Santos' 1.2 average). Head-to-head records favor Queretaro at home, winning 4 of the last 6 encounters, while Santos Laguna struggles away (1 win in last 5 road games) amid key midfielder injury confirmed recently. No significant reverse line movement or sharp money on Santos despite public leaning, implying market inefficiency and +EV on Queretaro at 2.00 (true win probability ~55% vs implied 50%). Weather neutral, referee average cards.
28 Feb 2026 | 01:00 AM
Mazatlan FC VS CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 Liga MX matches and dominates head-to-head vs Mazatlan (3 wins in last 4 meetings), while Mazatlan struggles at home (1 win in last 5). Advanced metrics favor Pachuca with higher xG (1.8 vs 1.1 per game) and no key injuries reported in last 6 hours for either side. No reverse line movement or sharp money on Mazatlan despite public leaning, confirming value on Pachuca at 1.88 odds (true win probability ~58% vs implied 53%). Weather neutral and referee neutral.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 AM
FC Juarez VS Atlas FC
FC Juarez shows strong home form with 4 wins in their last 6 Liga MX matches and a dominant xG differential of +1.2 per game recently, outpacing Atlas FC's poor away record of 1 win in 7 road games. Head-to-head favors Juarez with 3 victories in the last 5 meetings, and no major injuries reported for key players in the last 6 hours. Sharp money has moved the line toward Juarez despite public betting on Atlas, indicating reverse line movement and market inefficiency.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:06 AM
Club Tijuana VS UNAM Pumas
UNAM Pumas show strong recent form with three wins in their last five matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Tijuana's 1.2), indicating better chance creation. Head-to-head favors Pumas with two wins in the last three meetings, including a 2-1 victory away at Tijuana. No major injuries reported for Pumas in the last 6 hours, while Tijuana misses key midfielder due to suspension; reverse line movement supports Pumas despite public backing Tijuana at home.