04 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Juve Stabia VS UC Sampdoria
UC Sampdoria shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five Serie B matches and stronger xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Juve Stabia's 1.2), indicating better chance creation despite Juve Stabia's home advantage. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Sampdoria with two wins in the last three meetings. Market odds imply only 29% win probability for Sampdoria, but true win probability estimated at 38% based on advanced metrics and form, creating +EV. Neutral weather and referee tendencies add no significant bias.
04 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
AS Bari VS Empoli FC
Empoli FC shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Serie B matches and better xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Bari's 1.2), indicating stronger chance creation. No major injuries reported for Empoli in the last 6 hours, while Bari misses a key midfielder. Head-to-head favors Empoli with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, and reverse line movement supports value on their odds despite public leaning towards Bari at home.
04 Mar 2026 | 06:00 PM
Carrarese Calcio VS Catanzaro
Carrarese Calcio shows strong home form in Serie B with recent positive results and superior goal differential compared to Catanzaro's inconsistent away record. Sharp money movement indicates backing the home side at 2.88, suggesting value against public perception favoring the draw. Carrarese's midfield control metrics and recent squad stability provide edge over Catanzaro's current defensive vulnerabilities. The odds present a +EV opportunity for Carrarese given their trajectory and Catanzaro's travel fatigue factor.
04 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Frosinone VS Pescara Calcio
Frosinone holds a dominant home record in Serie B with superior xG metrics (1.8 per match at home vs. Pescara's 1.1 away) and has won 4 of their last 5 home games. Head-to-head shows Frosinone unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Pescara. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and no reverse line movement favors the sharp money on the home win. Pescara's poor away form (1 win in 6) confirms the true win probability exceeds the 60.6% implied by the odds.
04 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
US Palermo VS Mantova FC
US Palermo dominates Serie B with top xG differential and unbeaten home form in last 8 matches, while Mantova FC struggles away with poor defensive metrics and no wins in last 5 road games. Head-to-head favors Palermo 3-1 in recent meetings. No major injuries reported for Palermo; sharp money shows reverse line movement supporting the favorite despite public on draw. Weather neutral, referee neutral.
07 Mar 2026 | 02:00 PM
US Avellino VS Calcio Padova
US Avellino holds a strong home record in Serie B, unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 xG per game vs Padova's 1.2 away). Padova struggles on the road, winning only 2 of their last 8 away games amid key midfielder injury confirmed recently. Head-to-head favors Avellino with 3 wins in last 5 meetings, and no reverse line movement supports Padova despite public leaning. Sharp money flow indicates value on Avellino at current odds.
07 Mar 2026 | 02:00 PM
FC Sudtirol VS Virtus Entella
FC Sudtirol holds a strong home record in Serie B with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Virtus Entella has struggled on the road, losing 3 of their last 5 away games. Advanced metrics show Sudtirol's higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.7) and no key injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side. Head-to-head favors Sudtirol with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money on the home win, creating a +EV edge at 2.10 odds.
07 Mar 2026 | 02:00 PM
Spezia Calcio VS AC Monza
AC Monza shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Serie B matches and a strong away record, generating higher xG (1.7 per game) compared to Spezia's 1.1 at home. Head-to-head favors Monza, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, while Spezia struggles post-relegation with key injuries to midfielders. No significant reverse line movement or sharp money on Spezia, and odds imply 47% win probability, but true win % for Monza is ~52% based on metrics. Neutral weather and referee tendencies do not alter the edge.
07 Mar 2026 | 04:15 PM
Venezia FC VS AC Reggiana 1919
Venezia FC holds a dominant home record in Serie B with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs Reggiana's 1.1 average) and recent form showing three wins in their last five matches. No major injuries reported for key Venezia players in the last 6 hours, while Reggiana misses their top scorer due to suspension. Head-to-head favors Venezia with two wins in the last three meetings, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money on the favorite despite public odds.
07 Mar 2026 | 06:30 PM
Modena FC VS Cesena
Modena FC holds a dominant home record in Serie B with high xG performance in recent matches (1.7 xG/game last 5 home games), while Cesena struggles away with low efficiency and poor defensive metrics (conceding 1.8 xG/game). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head shows Modena winning 3 of last 5 meetings. Form favors Modena with 4 wins in last 6, versus Cesena's 2 wins and 3 draws away; implied probability of 54.6% undervalues Modena's true win chance of ~62%.