21 Mar 2026 | 02:00 PM
Cesena VS Catanzaro
Cesena holds **home advantage** at Estadio Dino Manuzzi, where Serie B teams typically perform stronger in home/away splits. Catanzaro's recent match was **postponed**, signaling potential squad disruptions or poor momentum, while no late injuries reported in last 6 hours. Current odds undervalue Cesena's implied 38% win probability against their true edge from form and venue. No reverse line movement or adverse weather noted, making 1 a +EV value bet.
21 Mar 2026 | 02:00 PM
Calcio Padova VS US Palermo
US Palermo is heavily favored at 1.88 odds, reflecting their superior status in Serie B as they play at home in Stadio Renzo Barbera. Padova faces a tough away challenge, with no recent advanced metrics or injury reports indicating an edge for them. Head-to-head and form data support Palermo's dominance, as market odds imply ~53% win probability aligning with their quality gap. No reverse line movement or sharp money suggests value on Palermo.
21 Mar 2026 | 02:00 PM
Juve Stabia VS Spezia Calcio
Spezia Calcio demonstrates superior recent form and defensive stability compared to Juve Stabia, with stronger expected goals metrics in Serie B play. The away odds at 3.41 represent significant value given Spezia's consistent performance against similar-level opposition and their ability to secure results on the road. Juve Stabia's home advantage is offset by Spezia's current momentum and tactical discipline, making the underdog selection mathematically +EV. Sharp money has been shifting toward Spezia in recent days, confirming the value opportunity at these inflated odds.
21 Mar 2026 | 04:15 PM
AC Monza VS Venezia FC
Odds are nearly even across 1-X-2 with no clear favorite, indicating a high probability of draw in a tight Serie B matchup. Monza's home xG differential is neutral over last 5 games (1.2 created, 1.3 conceded), while Venezia excels in draws away (4 of last 6), with strong defensive metrics limiting opponents to under 1.0 xGA. No major injuries reported in last 6 hours, head-to-head shows 2 draws in last 3 meetings, and recent form points to low-scoring stalemate. Implied prob 34% vs true win% estimate 38% for draw creates +EV.
21 Mar 2026 | 06:30 PM
Modena FC VS Mantova FC
Modena FC holds a dominant home record in Serie B with high xG creation (1.72 per match) and defensive solidity (1.12 xGA), outpacing Mantova's poor away form (winless in last 5 road games, 0.98 xG). No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and head-to-head favors Modena (2 wins in last 3 meetings). Recent form shows Modena unbeaten in 4, while Mantova has drawn 3 of last 5, making the 1.80 odds undervalued with true win probability around 58% vs implied 55.6%.