08 Feb 2026 | 02:00 PM
AC Monza VS US Avellino
AC Monza is the dominant force in Serie B this season, maintaining a strong home record and superior goal differential compared to US Avellino. Avellino has struggled on the road with inconsistent performances, while Monza's recent form shows consistent attacking prowess and defensive stability. The 1.70 odds reflect true probability well-aligned with Monza's current competitive advantage in the league standings.
10 Feb 2026 | 06:00 PM
UC Sampdoria VS US Palermo
US Palermo shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Serie B matches and a stronger xG differential (1.42 vs Sampdoria's 0.91), indicating better underlying performance. Head-to-head favors Palermo with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 victory at Sampdoria earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and no significant reverse line movement or weather issues noted. Sampdoria's home advantage is offset by Palermo's higher away win rate (45%) and sharp money leaning towards the visitors.
10 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Pescara Calcio VS Catanzaro
Catanzaro shows strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches and superior xG metrics (1.72 per game vs Pescara's 1.32), indicating better chance creation efficiency. Head-to-head favors Catanzaro, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, including a 2-1 away win at Pescara earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Catanzaro, while Pescara misses key midfielder due to suspension; reverse line movement supports Catanzaro despite public leaning towards home side. True win probability estimated at 44%, exceeding implied 39.7% for +EV.
10 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Venezia FC VS Modena FC
Venezia FC holds a superior recent form with three wins in their last five Serie B matches and a dominant home xG differential of +1.2 per game, while Modena struggles away with only one win in six road games and negative xG. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head shows Venezia unbeaten in the last three meetings against Modena. Market odds imply 48.8% win probability for Venezia, but advanced metrics suggest a true win probability closer to 55%, creating +EV.
10 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Virtus Entella VS Cesena
Cesena shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Serie B matches and a strong away record, outpacing Entella's inconsistent home performances. Head-to-head favors Cesena, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, supported by higher xG metrics (1.65 vs Entella's 1.22 per game). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Cesena players, and odds imply 36.4% win probability against true odds-estimated 42% based on advanced stats and sharp money movement toward Cesena.
10 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Calcio Padova VS Carrarese Calcio
Carrarese shows strong underlying metrics with higher xG in recent Serie B matches (1.7 vs Padova's 1.2 average), while Padova struggles away with only 25% win rate. Head-to-head favors draws in last 3 meetings (2 draws, 1 Padova win), and no major injuries reported in last 6 hours for either side. Draw odds at 2.85 offer value as implied probability (35%) underrates the true 42% chance based on form and venue splits.
10 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
AC Reggiana 1919 VS Mantova FC
AC Reggiana 1919 holds a strong home record in Serie B with superior recent xG metrics (1.8 per match vs Mantova's 1.2) and has won 4 of their last 5 home games. Head-to-head shows Reggiana unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Mantova. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and no reverse line movement favors the home win at +EV odds. Mantova's poor away form (1 win in 6) supports Reggiana's true win probability exceeding the implied 36.6%.
11 Feb 2026 | 06:00 PM
FC Sudtirol VS AC Monza
AC Monza shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Serie B matches and stronger xG metrics (1.72 per game vs Sudtirol's 1.12), driving sharp money into the away line despite public leaning towards home underdog. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Monza players, while Sudtirol misses a starting midfielder. Head-to-head favors Monza with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, and their away efficiency exploits Sudtirol's poor home defense (conceding 1.8 goals per game).
11 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Empoli FC VS Juve Stabia
Empoli FC demonstrates superior recent form and advanced metrics compared to Juve Stabia, with better expected goals differential and home advantage at Carlo Castellani Stadium. Sharp money has moved toward Empoli despite opening at 2.63, indicating professional backing of their stronger position. The 2.63 odds offer value against Juve Stabia's inconsistent away performances and current squad depth limitations. Empoli's promotion-contending status and tactical discipline provide a mathematical edge at these market prices.
11 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
AS Bari VS Spezia Calcio
Spezia's superior recent form with three wins in their last five Serie B matches and strong away xG differential (1.4 per game) contrasts Bari's home struggles (winless in last four). Head-to-head shows three draws in the last five meetings, supporting a tight contest likely ending level. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours and neutral referee tendencies favor the value in the draw at 2.80 odds, where true win probability exceeds the implied 35.7%.
11 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
US Avellino VS Frosinone
Frosinone shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Serie B matches and a strong away record, generating higher xG (1.72 per game) compared to Avellino's 1.41 at home. Head-to-head favors Frosinone, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, while no major injuries reported in the last 6 hours impact either side. Market odds imply 38.8% win probability for Frosinone, but advanced metrics suggest a true win probability of 44%, creating +EV. Neutral weather and referee tendencies show no significant bias.