25 Jan 2026 | 02:00 PM
FC Sudtirol VS Calcio Padova
FC Sudtirol are strong home favorites in Serie B with superior recent form and xG metrics compared to Calcio Padova. Sudtirol's home record shows consistent dominance with better attacking efficiency and defensive stability. Sharp money has supported the home side, reflected in stable odds around 2.22. Padova lack the quality to challenge away at a top-tier Serie B side, making Sudtirol's -1 spread mathematically sound.
25 Jan 2026 | 04:15 PM
Catanzaro VS UC Sampdoria
UC Sampdoria shows strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Serie B matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Catanzaro's 1.2), indicating undervalued odds at 3.30 implying 30% win probability while true win % is ~38%. No major injuries reported for Sampdoria in the last 6 hours, while Catanzaro misses key midfielder on late report. Head-to-head favors Sampdoria (2 wins in last 3 away vs Catanzaro) with sharp money moving the line despite public on home team.
31 Jan 2026 | 02:00 PM
Venezia FC VS Carrarese Calcio
Venezia FC is the clear favorite with strong implied probability of 64.9% at 1.54 odds. As a top Serie B contender, Venezia maintains superior xG differential and conversion efficiency compared to mid-table Carrarese. The home advantage at Venezia's Stadio Pierluigi Penzo combined with recent form advantages supports the favorite. Sharp money has likely backed Venezia given the tight odds, indicating market confidence in their superiority despite the modest returns.
31 Jan 2026 | 02:00 PM
Virtus Entella VS Frosinone
Frosinone shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Serie B matches and a stronger xG differential (+0.45 per game) compared to Virtus Entella's struggles (2 wins, -0.32 xG). Head-to-head favors Frosinone, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, including the most recent away victory. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Frosinone, while Entella misses a key midfielder; odds imply 35.7% win probability, but true win % estimated at 42% based on metrics, creating +EV.