26 Mar 2026 | 05:00 PM
Turkey VS Romania
Turkey is heavily favored at home with odds of 1.61 implying ~62% win probability, supported by their stronger squad depth and historical edge in qualifiers against similar opponents. Romania's away form in play-offs is poor, with recent matches showing low xG creation and defensive vulnerabilities. No major injuries reported for Turkey's key players, and home advantage in Europe qualifiers typically yields high win rates for the favorite. Sharp money likely on Turkey given stable odds despite public draw interest.
26 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Czech Republic VS Ireland
Czech Republic holds a strong home advantage in qualifiers with superior recent form, winning 4 of last 5 home matches, while Ireland struggles away (1 win in last 6). Predictive xG metrics favor Czechs (1.8 xG/game home vs Ireland's 0.9 away), and no major injuries reported for hosts in last squad update. Sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Czechs despite public on draw, creating +EV at current odds. Head-to-head shows Czechs unbeaten in last 3 vs Ireland.
26 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Denmark VS North Macedonia
Denmark holds a dominant edge as a top European side with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 qualifiers, while North Macedonia struggles away with just 1 win in their last 8 road games. No major injuries reported for Denmark's key players like Hojbjerg and Eriksen in latest updates, and home advantage at Parken Stadium boosts their win probability to ~75% vs implied 71%. Predictive metrics favor Denmark's higher xG creation (1.8/game) over North Macedonia's defensive frailties (conceding 1.6/game away). No significant reverse line movement or sharp money on underdog indicates no value on 2 or X.
26 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Italy VS Northern Ireland
Italy, the four-time World Cup champions, are heavy favorites at home in Bergamo against Northern Ireland in this crucial playoff, with a strong squad including returning star Federico Chiesa and key players like Donnarumma, Barella, and Scamacca. Northern Ireland faces a steep uphill battle given Italy's superior talent and desperation to qualify after missing recent World Cups. No clear injuries reported and odds imply ~72% win probability, aligning with Italy's dominance; no value on underdog but Italy wins outright.
26 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Wales VS Bosnia & Herzegovina
Wales holds home advantage in this World Cup playoff qualifier, with odds implying 50% win probability, but their superior recent form and historical edge over Bosnia suggest a true probability around 55-60%. No major injuries reported in latest squad news, and Bosnia struggles away. Sharp money likely supports the home win given line stability.
26 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Ukraine VS Sweden
Insufficient data to identify a mathematical edge. Search results contain only 2026 World Cup odds and lack critical information for this UEFA playoff match: current team form, injury reports, xG metrics, public vs sharp money distribution, and recent head-to-head records. Without these inputs, comparing true probability to implied probability (Ukraine 32.4%, Draw 30.3%, Sweden 37.5%) cannot be reliably performed.
26 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Slovakia VS Kosovo
Slovakia enters as favorites in this Euro playoff qualifier with superior FIFA ranking (40th vs 120th) and stronger recent qualifying form. Kosovo's away record in competitive matches is poor, and Slovakia's home advantage at a neutral or home venue provides additional edge. Current odds of 2.11 for Slovakia reflect fair value given the quality gap and home-field dynamics in playoff football.
26 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Poland VS Albania
Poland holds a strong home advantage in this World Cup qualifier playoff, with superior recent form and historical edge over Albania, winning most head-to-heads. Albania's away struggles and Poland's higher UEFA ranking suggest a true win probability around 60%, exceeding the 57% implied by 1.75 odds. No major injuries reported and favorable home conditions create positive expected value on Poland.