16 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Annecy FC VS ES Troyes AC
ES Troyes AC shows +EV as true win probability estimated at 42% (vs implied 38%) based on sharp money flow toward away side and reverse line movement despite public on Annecy home. Troyes superior recent form with 4 wins in last 6 vs Annecy's 2, plus better xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8) and strong away record (60% win rate). No major injuries reported for Troyes key players in last 6 hours; mild weather neutral. Head-to-head favors Troyes with 3 wins in last 5 meetings.
20 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Rodez AF VS SC Bastia
SC Bastia shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Ligue 2 matches and a strong away record (W3 D2 L1), outperforming Rodez AF who have struggled at home (W2 D1 L3 lately). Head-to-head favors Bastia with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, including a 2-1 victory at Rodez. Advanced metrics indicate Bastia’s higher xG (1.65 vs 1.32 per game) and no key injuries reported, while no significant market movement or weather issues alter the value edge at +EV odds.
20 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Pau FC VS Montpellier HSC
Montpellier HSC, recently relegated from Ligue 1, holds a superior edge with higher xG creation (1.7 per game) and defensive metrics against Ligue 2 opposition, outpacing Pau FC's home form hampered by recent draws and key absences. Head-to-head favors Montpellier with wins in the last two meetings, supported by sharp money moving the line despite public backing Pau. No late injuries shift this; Pau's pace drops at home under expected rain conditions, giving Montpellier a true win probability of 38% vs implied 35%.
20 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Clermont Foot VS Red Star Paris
Clermont Foot holds a superior recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 Ligue 2 matches and stronger home xG metrics (1.65 per game) compared to Red Star's away struggles (1.12 xG). Head-to-head shows Clermont unbeaten in the last 3 meetings, including a 2-0 home win. No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and neutral weather conditions favor the hosts' defensive efficiency.
20 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Boulogne Sur Mer VS AS Nancy Lorraine
Boulogne Sur Mer holds a strong home record in Ligue 2 with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Nancy Lorraine has struggled away, losing 3 of their last 5 road games. Head-to-head data shows Boulogne unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Nancy. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics like xG favor Boulogne's attacking efficiency at home. Implied probability of 40.3% undervalues their true win chance of around 48%.
20 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Amiens SC VS Le Mans UC 72
Le Mans UC 72 shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Ligue 2 matches and stronger xG metrics (1.65 xG/90 vs Amiens' 1.12), driving sharp money into the away side despite public leaning towards home. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either team, and Le Mans dominates head-to-head with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings. Amiens struggles at home against top-8 sides (1W-3L-1D), while neutral weather and standard referee tendencies favor the value on Le Mans. True win probability ~50% exceeds implied 45.5%.
21 Mar 2026 | 01:00 PM
EA Guingamp VS Stade Reims
Stade Reims shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 Ligue 2 matches and higher xG (1.72 per game vs Guingamp's 1.41), indicating better chance creation efficiency. No major injuries reported for Reims in the last 6 hours, while Guingamp misses key midfielder dear Ousmane Sy due to suspension. Head-to-head favors Reims with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, and slight reverse line movement on their odds despite public leaning towards home team. Implied probability of 36.8% undervalues Reims' true win chance of ~42% based on advanced metrics.