07 Mar 2026 | 10:30 AM
FC Flora Tallinn VS FC Nomme United
FC Flora Tallinn dominates recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and a strong home record, while FC Nomme United has struggled with only 1 win in their last 5. Head-to-head shows Flora winning the last 3 meetings convincingly. No recent injuries reported for key players, and advanced metrics like xG favor Flora heavily (1.8 vs 0.7 average). Market odds at 1.35 imply 74% win probability, aligning with true win % estimate of 78% based on predictive stats.
07 Mar 2026 | 12:30 PM
Parnu JK Vaprus VS Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and dominates head-to-head against Parnu JK Vaprus, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters. Advanced metrics favor Paide with higher xG (1.72 vs 1.12 per game) and better away performance (60% win rate). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and market odds imply 55.6% win probability, but true win % estimated at 62% based on form and metrics, creating +EV. Neutral weather expected with no referee biases noted.
07 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
JK Trans Narva VS Harju JK Laagri
JK Trans Narva holds a dominant home record in recent Liiga matches, winning 4 of their last 5 home games with strong underlying metrics like high xG creation (1.7 per match average). Harju JK Laagri struggles away, losing 3 of their last 4 road fixtures with poor defensive efficiency. No recent injuries reported for key players, and head-to-head favors Narva with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings. Market odds undervalue Narva's true win probability at ~55% vs implied 50.8%.
08 Mar 2026 | 10:30 AM
FC Levadia Tallinn VS FC Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn is the dominant force in Estonian Premium Liiga, consistently performing as the league's top team with superior goal differential and possession metrics. The 1.30 odds reflect their strength, and recent form shows Levadia maintains a significant edge over Kuressaare in both attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Kuressaare's away record in this fixture is notably weak, making the favorite bet mathematically sound. The implied probability of 76.9% aligns well with Levadia's actual win probability based on current squad depth and recent performance data.
08 Mar 2026 | 12:30 PM
JK Tammeka Tartu VS JK Nomme Kalju
JK Nomme Kalju dominates as heavy favorites with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while JK Tammeka Tartu has struggled, losing 3 of their last 5. Head-to-head records show Nomme Kalju winning 7 of the last 10 encounters, including both away games at Tammeka this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics like higher xG (1.8 vs 1.1 per game) and better defensive efficiency support Nomme Kalju's edge despite the short odds. Market shows no reverse line movement, confirming public and sharp alignment on the away win.