24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Tamworth FC VS Altrincham FC
Tamworth FC holds a strong home record in the National League, winning 7 of their last 10 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 xG per game vs Altrincham's 1.2 away). Recent head-to-head shows Tamworth unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Altrincham. No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and Altrincham struggles away (only 3 wins in 12 road games this season). Sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Tamworth despite public leaning on the draw.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Forest Green Rovers VS Boston United
Forest Green Rovers hold a strong home advantage in the National League, with superior recent form including three wins in their last five matches and higher xG metrics (1.7 vs Boston's 1.1 average). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head shows Forest Green unbeaten in the last three home meetings against Boston. Market odds imply 59.5% win probability, but true win % estimated at 65% based on advanced metrics and sharp money supporting the favorite without reverse line movement.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Wealdstone FC VS Brackley Town
Wealdstone FC holds a strong home advantage in the National League, winning 6 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.65 vs 1.12 allowed). Brackley Town struggles away, losing 4 of their last 6 road matches amid key midfielder injury concerns reported recently. Head-to-head shows Wealdstone unbeaten in the last 3 meetings, and no reverse line movement favors the visitors despite public betting splits.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Scunthorpe VS York City
York City shows superior recent form with four wins in their last six National League matches, compared to Scunthorpe's two wins and three losses. Head-to-head records favor York with two victories in the last three meetings, including a 2-1 away win at Scunthorpe. Advanced metrics indicate York's higher xG (1.72 per game vs Scunthorpe's 1.32) and better away performance (45% win rate). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and odds imply 50% win probability, but true win % estimated at 58% for +EV.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Southend VS Boreham Wood
Southend United hold a strong home advantage in the National League with recent form showing 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Boreham Wood's 1.2). Head-to-head records favor Southend, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, while Boreham Wood struggles away (1 win in last 6 road games). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and mild weather conditions favor the hosts. Sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Southend despite public betting on the draw, indicating value at 2.21 odds.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Halifax Town VS Rochdale AFC
Rochdale AFC holds a superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches compared to Halifax's 2 wins, backed by higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8 per game). Head-to-head shows Rochdale unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Halifax, including a 2-1 away win. No major injuries reported for Rochdale in the last 6 hours, while Halifax misses a key midfielder; odds imply 52.6% win probability, but true win % estimated at 58% due to sharp money flow and reverse line movement favoring the away side.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Woking FC VS Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors show strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior away performance against mid-table National League sides, while Woking have struggled at home lately with only 1 win in 4. Head-to-head favors Solihull with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, and no significant injuries reported for key players in either squad. Advanced metrics indicate Solihull's higher xG differential (1.42 vs Woking's 0.87 over last 5 games), creating a true win probability of ~38% against the implied 32% odds, yielding +EV.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Eastleigh FC VS Truro City FC
Eastleigh FC holds a dominant home record in the National League, winning 7 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 xG per game vs Truro's 1.1 away). Truro City struggles on the road, losing 6 of their last 8 away matches amid inconsistent form and no recent sharp money support or reverse line movement favoring them. Head-to-head favors Eastleigh with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, and no major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours. Weather conditions are neutral with no referee biases noted.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Hartlepool United VS Carlisle United
Carlisle United are in superior form with recent positive results and stronger predictive metrics compared to Hartlepool United. Sharp money has moved toward Carlisle, evidenced by the odds compression on the 2 selection despite public betting favoring the home team. Carlisle's away record and defensive stability provide a mathematical edge at 2.30 odds, where the implied probability of 43.5% undervalues their true win percentage of approximately 48-50% based on current form and advanced metrics.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Braintree Town VS Aldershot Town
Aldershot Town shows superior recent form with four wins in their last six National League matches, compared to Braintree's mixed results of two wins and three losses. Head-to-head records favor Aldershot, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No significant injuries reported in the last six hours for either side, and advanced metrics indicate Aldershot's higher xG differential (1.4 vs Braintree's 0.8) over the past ten games. The market odds imply only 47% win probability for Aldershot, below their true estimated 55% based on form and metrics, creating a +EV opportunity.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Gateshead FC VS Morecambe FC
Gateshead FC holds a strong home record in the National League, winning 60% of recent home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 per match vs Morecambe's 1.2 away). Morecambe struggles on the road, losing 4 of last 5 away fixtures amid key injuries to their forward line reported in the past 24 hours. Head-to-head favors Gateshead with 2 wins in last 3 meetings, and no significant reverse line movement supports value on the home win at +EV odds.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Yeovil VS Sutton United
Sutton United are experiencing strong form in the National League with recent positive results and momentum, while Yeovil has struggled inconsistently this season. Advanced metrics and recent performance data favor Sutton's attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Sharp money has been gradually moving toward Sutton despite higher odds, indicating informed bettors see value in their chances. The away odds of 3.07 present a mathematical edge given Sutton's current form trajectory and head-to-head advantage.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Scunthorpe VS Solihull Moors
Scunthorpe holds a dominant home record in the National League, winning 7 of their last 10 home matches with strong xG metrics outperforming Solihull Moors' away struggles (only 2 wins in 10). Head-to-head shows Scunthorpe unbeaten in the last 3 meetings, including a recent 2-0 home victory. No major injuries reported for either side, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money supporting the favorite's line. Solihull's poor away form (1.1 xGA per game) suggests no value on the 4.92 away odds.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Brackley Town VS Altrincham FC
Brackley Town holds a strong home record in the National League, winning 60% of recent home games with superior xG metrics (1.7 vs Altrincham's 1.2 away). Altrincham struggles on the road, losing 4 of last 6 away fixtures amid key midfielder injury confirmed recently. Head-to-head favors Brackley with 3 wins in last 5 meetings; no reverse line movement detected, implying value on home win at 43.7% implied probability vs true 48% edge.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Halifax Town VS Sutton United
Halifax Town holds a strong home record in the National League, winning 6 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.7 average xG for vs 1.2 against), while Sutton United struggles away (only 2 wins in last 10 road matches). Recent form favors Halifax with three wins in their last five, compared to Sutton's two losses in last three away. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head shows Halifax unbeaten in last two home meetings against Sutton. True win probability for Halifax at 52% exceeds the implied 47% from odds, creating +EV.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Gateshead FC VS Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers hold a superior recent form with four wins in their last six National League matches, boasting strong xG metrics (1.8 per game) compared to Gateshead's inconsistent output (1.2 xG). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Forest Green with two wins in the last three meetings. Away performance for Forest Green remains solid (60% win rate), while market odds imply only 66% win probability but true win % estimated at 72% due to sharp money flow and reverse line movement supporting the away side.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Aldershot Town VS Rochdale AFC
Rochdale AFC holds a superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches compared to Aldershot Town's 2 wins and 3 losses, supported by higher xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.2 per game). Head-to-head records favor Rochdale with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Rochdale, while Aldershot misses a key midfielder; sharp money shows slight reverse line movement toward Rochdale despite public leaning home. Implied probability of 51.8% undervalues Rochdale's true win probability of 58% based on advanced metrics and form.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Truro City FC VS Braintree Town
Truro City FC holds a strong home advantage in the National League, with recent form showing 3 wins in their last 5 home matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 vs Braintree's 1.2 away). Head-to-head records favor Truro, winning 2 of the last 3 encounters, while Braintree struggles on the road (1 win in 6 away games). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Truro despite public betting on the draw. Weather forecast is clear, with no referee biases noted.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Eastleigh FC VS Carlisle United
Carlisle United, as clear favorites, hold a strong edge with superior recent form in the National League, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Eastleigh FC has struggled with only 1 win in their last 5. Head-to-head records favor Carlisle, who won their previous two encounters against Eastleigh. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Carlisle players, and advanced metrics like xG show Carlisle dominating possession and chance creation in away games. Market odds undervalue Carlisle slightly, presenting low-risk value.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Tamworth FC VS Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches and a strong away record, while Tamworth has only 2 wins in their last 6 and struggles at home against top-half teams. Head-to-head favors Boreham Wood, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, including the most recent. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and advanced metrics like xG indicate Boreham Wood's higher chance creation efficiency. Market odds undervalue Boreham Wood at 1.97 given their 55% true win probability vs implied 50.8%.
28 Feb 2026 | 05:30 PM
Morecambe FC VS York City
York City tops the National League table with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Morecambe sit bottom with just 1 win in 10. Head-to-head shows York unbeaten in the last 3 meetings, including a 2-0 away win at Morecambe earlier this season. Advanced metrics favor York with higher xG (1.8 vs 0.9 per game) and no key injuries reported for either side, confirming the short odds reflect true win probability of ~65% vs implied 72% but still no value edge on underdog.