20 Dec 2025 | 03:00 PM
Tonbridge Angels VS Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction
Sharp indicators favor Dagenham & Redbridge: money has shifted toward the away side (reverse line movement) while public tickets are heavier on Tonbridge. Recent squad checks show no new late injuries to Dagenham in the last 6 hours and Tonbridge have a couple of minor fitness doubts that reduce attacking depth. Advanced metrics (recent xG per 90 and non-penalty xG conceded) and form over the last eight matches show Dagenham generating higher xG and better defensive xG prevented; their away splits this season are stronger than Tonbridge's home numbers. Weather and referee checks show no major external impacts, so implied probability from 2.28 (≈43.9%) underprices Dagenham’s estimated true win probability (~52%), producing a +EV on the away win.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
Full Time Result
Dagenham & Redbridge