24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Tamworth FC VS Altrincham FC
Tamworth FC holds a strong home record in the National League, winning 7 of their last 10 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 xG per game vs Altrincham's 1.2 away). Recent head-to-head shows Tamworth unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Altrincham. No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and Altrincham struggles away (only 3 wins in 12 road games this season). Sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Tamworth despite public leaning on the draw.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Forest Green Rovers VS Boston United
Forest Green Rovers hold a strong home advantage in the National League, with superior recent form including three wins in their last five matches and higher xG metrics (1.7 vs Boston's 1.1 average). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head shows Forest Green unbeaten in the last three home meetings against Boston. Market odds imply 59.5% win probability, but true win % estimated at 65% based on advanced metrics and sharp money supporting the favorite without reverse line movement.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Wealdstone FC VS Brackley Town
Wealdstone FC holds a strong home advantage in the National League, winning 6 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.65 vs 1.12 allowed). Brackley Town struggles away, losing 4 of their last 6 road matches amid key midfielder injury concerns reported recently. Head-to-head shows Wealdstone unbeaten in the last 3 meetings, and no reverse line movement favors the visitors despite public betting splits.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Scunthorpe VS York City
York City shows superior recent form with four wins in their last six National League matches, compared to Scunthorpe's two wins and three losses. Head-to-head records favor York with two victories in the last three meetings, including a 2-1 away win at Scunthorpe. Advanced metrics indicate York's higher xG (1.72 per game vs Scunthorpe's 1.32) and better away performance (45% win rate). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and odds imply 50% win probability, but true win % estimated at 58% for +EV.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Southend VS Boreham Wood
Southend United hold a strong home advantage in the National League with recent form showing 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Boreham Wood's 1.2). Head-to-head records favor Southend, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, while Boreham Wood struggles away (1 win in last 6 road games). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and mild weather conditions favor the hosts. Sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Southend despite public betting on the draw, indicating value at 2.21 odds.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Halifax Town VS Rochdale AFC
Rochdale AFC holds a superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches compared to Halifax's 2 wins, backed by higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8 per game). Head-to-head shows Rochdale unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Halifax, including a 2-1 away win. No major injuries reported for Rochdale in the last 6 hours, while Halifax misses a key midfielder; odds imply 52.6% win probability, but true win % estimated at 58% due to sharp money flow and reverse line movement favoring the away side.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Woking FC VS Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors show strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior away performance against mid-table National League sides, while Woking have struggled at home lately with only 1 win in 4. Head-to-head favors Solihull with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, and no significant injuries reported for key players in either squad. Advanced metrics indicate Solihull's higher xG differential (1.42 vs Woking's 0.87 over last 5 games), creating a true win probability of ~38% against the implied 32% odds, yielding +EV.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Eastleigh FC VS Truro City FC
Eastleigh FC holds a dominant home record in the National League, winning 7 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 xG per game vs Truro's 1.1 away). Truro City struggles on the road, losing 6 of their last 8 away matches amid inconsistent form and no recent sharp money support or reverse line movement favoring them. Head-to-head favors Eastleigh with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, and no major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours. Weather conditions are neutral with no referee biases noted.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Hartlepool United VS Carlisle United
Carlisle United are in superior form with recent positive results and stronger predictive metrics compared to Hartlepool United. Sharp money has moved toward Carlisle, evidenced by the odds compression on the 2 selection despite public betting favoring the home team. Carlisle's away record and defensive stability provide a mathematical edge at 2.30 odds, where the implied probability of 43.5% undervalues their true win percentage of approximately 48-50% based on current form and advanced metrics.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Braintree Town VS Aldershot Town
Aldershot Town shows superior recent form with four wins in their last six National League matches, compared to Braintree's mixed results of two wins and three losses. Head-to-head records favor Aldershot, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No significant injuries reported in the last six hours for either side, and advanced metrics indicate Aldershot's higher xG differential (1.4 vs Braintree's 0.8) over the past ten games. The market odds imply only 47% win probability for Aldershot, below their true estimated 55% based on form and metrics, creating a +EV opportunity.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Gateshead FC VS Morecambe FC
Gateshead FC holds a strong home record in the National League, winning 60% of recent home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 per match vs Morecambe's 1.2 away). Morecambe struggles on the road, losing 4 of last 5 away fixtures amid key injuries to their forward line reported in the past 24 hours. Head-to-head favors Gateshead with 2 wins in last 3 meetings, and no significant reverse line movement supports value on the home win at +EV odds.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Yeovil VS Sutton United
Sutton United are experiencing strong form in the National League with recent positive results and momentum, while Yeovil has struggled inconsistently this season. Advanced metrics and recent performance data favor Sutton's attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Sharp money has been gradually moving toward Sutton despite higher odds, indicating informed bettors see value in their chances. The away odds of 3.07 present a mathematical edge given Sutton's current form trajectory and head-to-head advantage.