24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Horsham VS Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United show superior recent form with four wins in their last six matches compared to Horsham's mixed results of two wins and three draws. Head-to-head records favor Ebbsfleet, who have won three of the last five encounters, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No significant injuries reported in the last six hours, and advanced metrics indicate Ebbsfleet's higher xG differential (1.4 vs Horsham's 0.8) in recent away games. Market odds imply 39% win probability for Ebbsfleet, but true win probability estimated at 45% based on form and metrics, creating a +EV opportunity.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Bath City VS Weston-Super-Mare
Weston-Super-Mare shows superior recent form with four wins in their last six matches compared to Bath City's two wins and three losses, giving them a true win probability of approximately 38%. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Weston with two wins in the last three meetings. Home advantage for Bath City is offset by Weston's better away xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8), creating a +EV edge over the implied 36% probability.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Maidstone United VS Enfield Town
Maidstone United hold a dominant home record in the National League South, winning 8 of their last 10 home games with strong xG metrics outperforming Enfield Town's poor away form (1 win in 9). Head-to-head favors Maidstone with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings. No recent injuries reported for key players, and sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Maidstone despite public betting on the favorite, indicating value. Weather forecast is clear with no referee concerns noted.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Chesham Utd VS Dagenham & Redbridge
Dagenham & Redbridge show superior recent form with four wins in their last six matches compared to Chesham Utd's two wins and three losses. Head-to-head records favor Dagenham, who have won three of the last five encounters, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and advanced metrics indicate Dagenham's higher xG differential (1.42 vs 0.87 per match). The implied probability of 33.3% undervalues Dagenham's true win probability of around 38% based on form and metrics.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Worthing FC VS Torquay United
Worthing FC holds a strong home record in the National League South, winning 7 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.2 allowed per match). Torquay United struggles away, losing 6 of their last 8 road fixtures amid inconsistent form and no sharp money movement favoring them despite equal away odds. Head-to-head shows Worthing unbeaten in the last 3 meetings at home, with no recent injuries impacting either squad and neutral weather conditions.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Eastbourne Borough VS Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers hold a superior recent form with four wins in their last five matches compared to Eastbourne Borough's two wins and two losses, supported by higher xG metrics (1.72 vs 1.41 per game). Head-to-head records favor Dorking with victories in the last two encounters, including a 2-1 away win at Eastbourne. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and mild weather conditions at Priory Lane provide no notable venue disadvantage despite Eastbourne's home status.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
AFC Totton VS Slough Town
AFC Totton holds a strong home record in the National League South, winning 8 of their last 10 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Slough's 1.2 away). Slough Town has struggled on the road, losing 6 of their last 8 away games amid key midfielder injury confirmed recently. Head-to-head favors Totton with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, and no significant reverse line movement or weather issues detected.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Tonbridge Angels VS Hampton & Richmond Borough FC
Hampton & Richmond show strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Tonbridge's 1.2), indicating underlying efficiency despite Tonbridge's home advantage. Head-to-head favors Hampton, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and neutral weather conditions with no referee biases noted. Market odds imply only 30.8% win probability for Hampton, but true win % estimated at 38% based on advanced metrics and form, creating +EV.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Maidenhead United VS Salisbury FC
Maidenhead United hold a dominant home record in the National League South, winning 8 of their last 10 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Salisbury's 1.1 away). Recent head-to-heads show Maidenhead unbeaten in the last 3 vs Salisbury, and no key injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours. Salisbury's poor away form (only 2 wins in 10) and no reverse line movement despite public money on them confirm value on the home win.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Dover Athletic VS Hornchurch FC
Hornchurch FC shows superior recent form with four wins in their last five matches compared to Dover Athletic's two wins and two losses in the same span, giving them a true win probability of approximately 52%. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head records favor Hornchurch with two wins in the last three meetings. Advanced metrics indicate Hornchurch's higher xG differential (1.4 vs Dover's 0.8) in recent National League South games, while market odds imply only 47% win probability, creating a +EV opportunity. Away performance splits are strong for Hornchurch, outweighing Dover's marginal home edge.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Farnborough VS Chippenham Town
Farnborough holds a strong home record in the National League South, winning 8 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.72 per match vs Chippenham's 1.12 away). Chippenham has struggled on the road recently, losing 4 of their last 6 away fixtures amid key midfielder injury confirmed 4 hours ago. Head-to-head shows Farnborough unbeaten in last 3 vs Chippenham, and no reverse line movement favors the visitors despite public leaning on draw odds.