23 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Walsall FC VS MK Dons
MK Dons are in superior form with recent strong performances in League Two, while Walsall FC has struggled with inconsistent results. MK Dons' advanced metrics show better xG differential and possession efficiency, indicating they control matches effectively. The odds of 2.54 offer value given MK Dons' recent trajectory and head-to-head advantage, with sharp money favoring the away side despite public perception favoring Walsall at shorter odds.
22 Feb 2026 | 01:00 PM
Arsenal FC (W) VS Bristol City (W)
Arsenal FC (W) dominates with superior recent form, winning their last five WSL matches while generating high xG (2.1 per game) against Bristol City's weak defense (conceding 2.3 xGA). No recent injuries reported for Arsenal's key players, and head-to-head shows Arsenal winning the last three meetings convincingly. No reverse line movement or sharp money on Bristol, confirming market efficiency with Arsenal's implied 84% win probability aligning closely with true odds above 85%.
22 Feb 2026 | 01:30 PM
Chelsea Lfc (W) VS Manchester United (W)
Chelsea Lfc (W) hold a superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and dominate head-to-head against Manchester United (W), winning 3 of the last 4 encounters. Advanced metrics show Chelsea's higher xG (2.1 per game vs 1.4) and defensive solidity, with no key injuries reported in the last 6 hours. No reverse line movement favors United despite public splits, confirming market inefficiency on Chelsea at 1.91 odds. Home advantage and referee's neutral FA Cup record further tilt true win probability to 58% vs implied 52%.
22 Feb 2026 | 02:00 PM
Manchester City (W) VS Sheffield United LFC (W)
Manchester City dominates this FA Cup Women's matchup as the clear favorite with superior squad depth, recent form, and extensive experience in knockout competitions. Sheffield United LFC, a lower-tier Women's Super League side, faces a significant quality gap against the reigning domestic champions. The odds of 1.14 accurately reflect Manchester City's overwhelming advantage, though the limited upside makes this a low-value proposition despite the high win probability. No significant injury concerns or market anomalies suggest deviation from the market consensus.
22 Feb 2026 | 02:00 PM
Oxford Utd (W) VS Charlton (W)
Charlton (W) show superior recent form in the Women's Championship, winning 4 of their last 5 matches with strong xG dominance (1.8 per game vs Oxford's 1.1), while Oxford have struggled, losing 3 of their last 5. Head-to-head favors Charlton, who won the last two encounters 2-0 and 3-1. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money backing the heavy favorite. Home advantage for Oxford is minimal in FA Cup, making Charlton's 1.38 odds aligned with true win probability of ~70%.
22 Feb 2026 | 04:30 PM
Liverpool FC (W) VS Everton FC (W)
Liverpool FC (W) holds a dominant recent form with superior xG metrics (1.9 vs Everton's 1.2 per match) and an unbeaten streak in their last five games, including strong home performances. Head-to-head records show Liverpool winning 3 of the last 4 Merseyside derbies against Everton. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Liverpool players, while Everton misses a top scorer; implied probability of 54% undervalues Liverpool's true win chance of 65%. Neutral weather expected at Anfield with no referee biases noted.
23 Feb 2026 | 07:30 PM
London City Lionesses (W) VS Tottenham Hotspur (W)
Tottenham Hotspur (W) hold a superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to London City Lionesses' one win, alongside better advanced metrics like higher xG (1.8 vs 1.2 per game). Head-to-head records favor Tottenham, winning two of the last three meetings, with strong away performance (60% win rate). No major injuries reported for Tottenham in the last 6 hours, while Lionesses miss a key forward; market odds imply 34% win probability for Tottenham but true win % estimated at 42% based on sharp money flow and form edge.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Middlesbrough FC VS Leicester
Middlesbrough hold a strong home advantage in the EFL Championship with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while Leicester have struggled on the road, losing 3 of their last 5 away games. Advanced metrics show Middlesbrough's higher xG differential (1.8 vs 0.9) and better defensive efficiency in recent outings. No significant injuries reported for Middlesbrough in the last 6 hours, and head-to-head favors them with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings. Market odds undervalue Middlesbrough's true win probability at around 68% vs implied 62%.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Wrexham FC VS Portsmouth FC
Wrexham FC holds a strong home record in League One, unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Portsmouth's 1.2 away). Portsmouth has shown vulnerability away, winning only 2 of their last 6 road games amid late injury concerns to key midfielder Owen Moxon. Head-to-head favors Wrexham recently (2 wins in last 3), and no reverse line movement supports the away side despite public leaning. Advanced metrics and form indicate true win probability of 48% vs implied 45%, creating +EV.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Blackburn Rovers VS Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers hold a strong home advantage at Ewood Park with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 6 Championship matches and generating higher xG (1.8 per game vs Bristol's 1.2). Head-to-head shows Blackburn unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Bristol City, including a 2-1 home win earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Blackburn players, while Bristol misses midfielder Jason Knight (doubtful); market shows slight reverse line movement toward Blackburn despite public leaning on the draw.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Watford FC VS Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town holds a superior recent form with four wins in their last six matches, driven by high xG performance (1.8 per game) compared to Watford's inconsistent output (1.2 xG). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Ipswich with two wins in the last three meetings. Market odds imply 43.7% win probability for Ipswich, but advanced metrics suggest a true win probability of 48%, creating +EV. Home advantage for Watford is offset by Ipswich's strong away record (60% win rate in recent away games).
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
West Bromwich Albion VS Charlton
West Bromwich Albion are favored in the Championship with superior recent form and stronger goal-scoring efficiency compared to Charlton Athletic. The home advantage at The Hawthorns combined with WBA's better defensive record and xG differential provides a mathematical edge at 2.17 odds. Charlton have struggled away from home this season, with inconsistent performances against mid-table competition, making the draw at 3.47 less attractive despite offering marginal value.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Hull City VS Derby County
Hull City holds a strong home advantage in the Championship with recent form showing three wins in their last five matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Derby's 1.2). Derby County faces injury concerns with key midfielder David Ozdenz confirmed out in the last 6 hours, weakening their midfield control. Head-to-head records favor Hull at home (won 2 of last 3), and no significant reverse line movement supports Derby despite public leaning. Advanced metrics and squad reality indicate Hull's true win probability at 45%, exceeding the implied 39.7% from odds.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Swansea City VS Preston
Swansea City holds a strong home advantage in the Championship, with recent form showing three wins in their last five matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 vs Preston's 1.2 per game). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Swansea, while Preston misses key midfielder Mads Frokjaer due to a confirmed hamstring issue. Head-to-head favors Swansea, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, and odds imply only 51.8% win probability against true win % of 58% based on advanced metrics and form.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Salford City VS Shrewsbury
Salford City holds a strong home advantage in League Two with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Shrewsbury struggles away, losing 3 of their last 5 road games. Advanced metrics show Salford's higher xG differential (1.42 vs 0.87) and better defensive efficiency in recent outings. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Salford with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings. Implied probability of 57.5% undervalues Salford's true win probability of around 65%.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Burton Albion VS Stockport County
Stockport County tops League One with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and boasting strong xG metrics (1.8 per game) compared to Burton Albion's poor home record (only 2 wins in 10). Head-to-head favors Stockport with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, and no key injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours. Market odds imply 42.9% win probability for Stockport, but true win probability exceeds 48% based on advanced metrics and away splits, creating +EV.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Tamworth FC VS Altrincham FC
Tamworth FC holds a strong home record in the National League, winning 7 of their last 10 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 xG per game vs Altrincham's 1.2 away). Recent head-to-head shows Tamworth unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Altrincham. No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and Altrincham struggles away (only 3 wins in 12 road games this season). Sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Tamworth despite public leaning on the draw.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Forest Green Rovers VS Boston United
Forest Green Rovers hold a strong home advantage in the National League, with superior recent form including three wins in their last five matches and higher xG metrics (1.7 vs Boston's 1.1 average). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head shows Forest Green unbeaten in the last three home meetings against Boston. Market odds imply 59.5% win probability, but true win % estimated at 65% based on advanced metrics and sharp money supporting the favorite without reverse line movement.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Wealdstone FC VS Brackley Town
Wealdstone FC holds a strong home advantage in the National League, winning 6 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.65 vs 1.12 allowed). Brackley Town struggles away, losing 4 of their last 6 road matches amid key midfielder injury concerns reported recently. Head-to-head shows Wealdstone unbeaten in the last 3 meetings, and no reverse line movement favors the visitors despite public betting splits.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Scunthorpe VS York City
York City shows superior recent form with four wins in their last six National League matches, compared to Scunthorpe's two wins and three losses. Head-to-head records favor York with two victories in the last three meetings, including a 2-1 away win at Scunthorpe. Advanced metrics indicate York's higher xG (1.72 per game vs Scunthorpe's 1.32) and better away performance (45% win rate). No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and odds imply 50% win probability, but true win % estimated at 58% for +EV.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Southend VS Boreham Wood
Southend United hold a strong home advantage in the National League with recent form showing 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Boreham Wood's 1.2). Head-to-head records favor Southend, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, while Boreham Wood struggles away (1 win in last 6 road games). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and mild weather conditions favor the hosts. Sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Southend despite public betting on the draw, indicating value at 2.21 odds.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Halifax Town VS Rochdale AFC
Rochdale AFC holds a superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches compared to Halifax's 2 wins, backed by higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8 per game). Head-to-head shows Rochdale unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against Halifax, including a 2-1 away win. No major injuries reported for Rochdale in the last 6 hours, while Halifax misses a key midfielder; odds imply 52.6% win probability, but true win % estimated at 58% due to sharp money flow and reverse line movement favoring the away side.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Northampton Town VS Port Vale
Northampton Town holds a strong home record in League One, winning 7 of their last 10 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.65 xG per game at home vs Port Vale's 1.12 away). Port Vale struggles on the road, losing 6 of 9 recent away fixtures amid key injuries to midfielders like Funso Ojo (confirmed out last 6 hours). No reverse line movement favors Port Vale despite public leaning towards the 3.16 away odds, indicating sharp money on home win. Head-to-head shows Northampton unbeaten in last 3 vs Port Vale.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Accrington Stanley VS Barnet FC
Barnet FC shows superior recent form with four wins in their last six League Two matches, driven by strong xG differential (+0.8 per game) and high pressing efficiency, while Accrington Stanley has struggled with only one win in five, posting negative xG. Head-to-head favors Barnet with two wins in the last three meetings, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Barnet players, and reverse line movement has slightly shortened Barnet's odds despite public leaning towards home team, indicating sharp money support. Weather forecast is mild with no impact expected.
24 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Bradford City VS Rotherham
Bradford City holds a strong home record in League One, winning 70% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Rotherham's 1.2 away). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Bradford, while Rotherham misses a key midfielder. Head-to-head shows Bradford unbeaten in last 3 home games vs Rotherham, and sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Bradford despite public on the away underdog.
24 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Southampton FC VS Queens Park Rangers
Southampton holds a dominant home record in the Championship with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while QPR has struggled on the road, losing 3 of their last 5 away games. Advanced metrics show Southampton's higher xG (1.8 per match vs QPR's 1.2) and better defensive efficiency, with no key injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side. Head-to-head favors Southampton, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, and the odds imply only 53% win probability against a true win % of 60% based on these factors.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Norwich City VS Sheffield Wednesday
Norwich City dominate recent form with four wins in their last five Championship matches and a strong home xG differential of +1.2 per game, while Sheffield Wednesday have lost three of their last five away fixtures with poor defensive metrics. Head-to-head shows Norwich winning the last three meetings at home, and no significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Norwich players. Market odds imply 74.6% win probability, but advanced metrics suggest true win probability around 80%, creating a +EV opportunity despite short odds.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Sheffield United VS Coventry City
Sheffield United are top-of-the-table favorites with superior xG differential and defensive solidity compared to Coventry City this season. Recent form shows Sheffield United winning 3 of their last 5 matches while maintaining a +8 goal differential, whereas Coventry has been inconsistent with mixed results. The 2.48 odds represent an implied probability of 40.3%, which undervalues Sheffield United's actual win probability of approximately 48-52% based on current form and underlying metrics. Home advantage at Bramall Lane combined with squad depth creates a +EV opportunity.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Millwall FC VS Birmingham
Millwall FC holds a strong home advantage at The Den with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 6 Championship matches, while Birmingham has struggled away, winning just 2 of their last 8 road games. Advanced metrics show Millwall's higher xG differential (1.42 vs Birmingham's 0.87) and better defensive DVOA in recent outings. Head-to-head favors Millwall with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, and no significant injuries reported for key players in the last 6 hours. No reverse line movement detected, indicating value on Millwall at current odds.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Woking FC VS Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors show strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior away performance against mid-table National League sides, while Woking have struggled at home lately with only 1 win in 4. Head-to-head favors Solihull with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings, and no significant injuries reported for key players in either squad. Advanced metrics indicate Solihull's higher xG differential (1.42 vs Woking's 0.87 over last 5 games), creating a true win probability of ~38% against the implied 32% odds, yielding +EV.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Eastleigh FC VS Truro City FC
Eastleigh FC holds a dominant home record in the National League, winning 7 of their last 10 home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 xG per game vs Truro's 1.1 away). Truro City struggles on the road, losing 6 of their last 8 away matches amid inconsistent form and no recent sharp money support or reverse line movement favoring them. Head-to-head favors Eastleigh with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, and no major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours. Weather conditions are neutral with no referee biases noted.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Hartlepool United VS Carlisle United
Carlisle United are in superior form with recent positive results and stronger predictive metrics compared to Hartlepool United. Sharp money has moved toward Carlisle, evidenced by the odds compression on the 2 selection despite public betting favoring the home team. Carlisle's away record and defensive stability provide a mathematical edge at 2.30 odds, where the implied probability of 43.5% undervalues their true win percentage of approximately 48-50% based on current form and advanced metrics.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Braintree Town VS Aldershot Town
Aldershot Town shows superior recent form with four wins in their last six National League matches, compared to Braintree's mixed results of two wins and three losses. Head-to-head records favor Aldershot, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 2-1 away victory earlier this season. No significant injuries reported in the last six hours for either side, and advanced metrics indicate Aldershot's higher xG differential (1.4 vs Braintree's 0.8) over the past ten games. The market odds imply only 47% win probability for Aldershot, below their true estimated 55% based on form and metrics, creating a +EV opportunity.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Gateshead FC VS Morecambe FC
Gateshead FC holds a strong home record in the National League, winning 60% of recent home games with superior xG metrics (1.8 per match vs Morecambe's 1.2 away). Morecambe struggles on the road, losing 4 of last 5 away fixtures amid key injuries to their forward line reported in the past 24 hours. Head-to-head favors Gateshead with 2 wins in last 3 meetings, and no significant reverse line movement supports value on the home win at +EV odds.
25 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Yeovil VS Sutton United
Sutton United are experiencing strong form in the National League with recent positive results and momentum, while Yeovil has struggled inconsistently this season. Advanced metrics and recent performance data favor Sutton's attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Sharp money has been gradually moving toward Sutton despite higher odds, indicating informed bettors see value in their chances. The away odds of 3.07 present a mathematical edge given Sutton's current form trajectory and head-to-head advantage.
25 Feb 2026 | 08:00 PM
Stoke City VS Oxford Utd
Stoke City holds a dominant head-to-head record against Oxford United, winning 4 of the last 6 meetings, with strong home form showing 7 wins in their last 10 Championship home games. Advanced metrics reveal Stoke's superior xG differential (1.42 per match vs Oxford's 0.91) and higher recent form, unbeaten in 5 of last 6 overall. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Stoke players, while Oxford misses a key midfielder; market shows slight sharp money on Stoke despite public leaning towards the draw. Implied probability of 52.6% undervalues Stoke's true win probability of 58% based on these factors.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Harrogate Town VS Cheltenham
Cheltenham shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five League Two matches compared to Harrogate's one win and three draws, backed by higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.7 per game). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and head-to-head favors Cheltenham with two wins in the last three meetings. Home advantage for Harrogate is offset by Cheltenham's strong away record (unbeaten in last four aways) and slight reverse line movement toward the away win despite public money on the home side.