26 Dec 2025 | 03:00 PM
Marine FC VS Southport FC Prediction
Sharp indicators show late money backing Southport despite public leaning to Marine, recent line movement consistent with reverse-line movement; Southport's underlying metrics (last 8 league matches xG per 90 and xG conceded) and away efficiency rate are stronger than Marine's home attack efficiency, a key predictive stat for this level. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours to either side and weather at the coastal venue is not expected to materially impact play, while head-to-head and form favor Southport (better xG differential over the last 6 meetings and superior form over the last 6 league games). Given the implied probability of 26.5% at 3.77 and an estimated true win probability around 34–36% from sharp flows and predictive stats, this represents a +EV selection. Play is low-risk value taking Southport at available price rather than the draw or home win.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
Full Time Result
Southport FC