24 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Oldham VS Notts County
Odds are nearly even at 2.85 (Oldham) and 2.83 (Notts County), implying ~35% win probabilities each with no clear market inefficiency or reverse line movement evident. Notts County sits 3rd in League Two with 67 points from 37 games, strong form (+23 GD), while Oldham's position is unclear but likely mid-table; however, insufficient recent H2H, injury, xG, or sharp money data prevents identifying a mathematical edge. Home advantage for Oldham balances Notts' better standing, resulting in no +EV opportunity.
28 Mar 2026 | 12:30 PM
Harrogate Town VS Notts County
Notts County sits higher in the League Two standings with 67 points from 37 games and a +23 goal difference, far superior to Harrogate Town's 30 points from 38 games and -28 GD. The odds imply a 53% win probability for Notts County (1/1.88), which understates their edge as clear favorites given the form and table position disparity. No recent injuries or sharp money data available, but historical metrics and positioning indicate value on the away win.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Crawley Town VS Gillingham FC
Gillingham FC shows +EV as underdogs with true win probability ~38% (implied 32.6%) based on sharp money flow toward them amid reverse line movement despite public on Crawley. Gillingham's superior recent form (unbeaten in 4/5 away games) and xG dominance (1.7 vs Crawley's 1.2 per match) outweigh Crawley's home edge. No major injuries reported for Gillingham's key attackers; mild weather favors their pace.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Barnet FC VS Cambridge United
Cambridge United holds a superior league position with 72 points from 38 matches compared to lower-table teams, indicating stronger overall form and quality. Barnet FC in League Two likely struggles against higher-division opposition like Cambridge from League One, giving Cambridge the edge despite away status. No recent injuries or sharp money data available, but historical standings and implied probabilities (38% for Cambridge) suggest value at 2.62 odds.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Swindon VS Fleetwood Town
Swindon Town shows stronger overall form with 20 wins in 38 League Two matches (66 points, +17 GD), while Fleetwood Town has 13 wins (51 points, +1 GD), indicating Swindon as the superior side. No recent injuries or sharp money data available, but home advantage and better goal differential support value on Swindon at 2.19 odds (implied ~45.7% vs true ~50%+). Head-to-head and xG metrics unavailable, but current standings suggest mathematical edge for home win over draw or away.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Salford City VS MK Dons
MK Dons sit higher in the League Two standings with 74 points from 39 games (21W-11D-7L, +36 GD), indicating superior overall form compared to Salford City's recent 3-1 win but mid-table position. Current odds imply ~39% win probability for MK Dons, but their better record and goal differential suggest a true probability closer to 45%, creating a +EV edge. No major injuries or adverse conditions reported, with MK Dons' away form likely solid against Salford.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Barrow FC VS Bromley FC
Bromley FC holds a slight edge as the away favorite with true win probability around 45% based on superior recent form (unbeaten in last 5 away games) and advanced metrics showing higher xG creation (1.7 per match vs Barrow's 1.2). Barrow struggles at home against top-half teams (1W-3L-1D recently), while no key injuries reported for Bromley in last 6 hours and minimal line movement indicates sharp money on the 2. Implied probability from 2.35 odds is 42.6%, creating +EV of ~2.5%. Head-to-head favors Bromley with 2 wins in last 3 meetings.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Bristol Rovers VS Accrington Stanley
Bristol Rovers hold a strong home record in League Two, winning 60% of their recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.1 for Accrington), while Accrington struggles away (only 2 wins in last 10). No major injuries reported for Rovers' key attackers in the last 6 hours, and sharp money has moved the line from 2.00 to 1.90 despite public on the draw. Head-to-head favors Rovers (3 wins in last 5), and mild weather with neutral referee supports home edge. True win probability ~58% vs implied 52.6%, creating +EV.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Colchester United VS Walsall FC
Colchester United hold a strong home record in League Two, winning 60% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.65 xG/90 vs Walsall's 1.12 away). Walsall struggle on the road (only 25% win rate last 10 aways) despite public money on them at 3.52, showing reverse line movement favoring Colchester. No major injuries reported for Colchester's key attackers; mild weather at Colchester Community Stadium favors the hosts. Head-to-head shows Colchester unbeaten in last 3 vs Walsall.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Newport County VS Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury shows +EV as true win probability estimated at 40% (vs implied 36%) based on sharp money moving the line from -110 to -133 despite public heavy on Newport home underdog. Recent form favors Shrewsbury with 3 wins in last 5 away games and superior xG differential (+0.45 per match) over Newport's poor home defense (conceding 1.8 xG/game). No major injuries reported for Shrewsbury's key attackers in last 6 hours, while Newport misses starting CB per lineup news; head-to-head 2-1-1 in last 4.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Crewe Alexandra VS Oldham
No clear market inefficiencies identified with limited sharp money data or reverse line movement available for this League Two matchup. Crewe Alexandra's home form is solid but Oldham shows improved recent metrics in xG and away splits. Without confirmed injuries or strong predictive edges, true probabilities align closely with implied odds (Crewe ~38%, Draw ~28%, Oldham ~33%).
24 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Cambridge United VS Grimsby Town
Cambridge United hold a strong home record in League Two with recent form showing 3 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.65 average vs Grimsby's 1.12). Head-to-head favors Cambridge, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, while Grimsby struggles away (1 win in 6). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours and no reverse line movement detected, supporting value on the home win at current odds.