28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Stockport County VS AFC Wimbledon
Stockport County holds a strong home record in League One, with superior recent form including high xG creation and defensive solidity, implying a true win probability around 62% versus the 57.8% from odds. No major injuries reported for key players in the last 6 hours, while AFC Wimbledon has struggled away (win rate <20% in last 10). Head-to-head favors Stockport (3 wins in last 5), and mild weather with neutral referee supports home edge—no sharp money or RLM against them.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Blackpool FC VS Burton Albion
Insufficient current data to identify a mathematical edge. Search results contain only historical League One standings from March 17, 2026, showing Blackpool (38 pts, 10W-8D-19L) and Burton Albion (43 pts, 11W-10D-16L) in mid-table. No recent injury reports, sharp money flow, xG metrics, or line movement data available for the March 28 fixture. Cannot reliably compare true probability vs implied probability without current team form, lineup news, and market sentiment.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Exeter City VS Leyton Orient
Exeter City holds a strong home record in League One, winning 60% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.7 per game vs Leyton Orient's 1.2 away). Leyton Orient struggles on the road, losing 4 of last 6 away games amid key injuries to their top scorer (confirmed out per latest reports). No significant line movement or sharp money on Orient despite public draw bets; head-to-head favors Exeter 3-1 in last 4. True win probability ~48% vs implied 41%, creating +EV.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Wycombe VS Port Vale
Wycombe, as home favorites, hold a strong edge with superior recent form in League One, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Port Vale has struggled on the road, losing 3 of their last 5 away games. Advanced metrics show Wycombe generating higher xG (1.7 per match vs Port Vale's 1.1) and better defensive efficiency. No major injuries reported for Wycombe's key players in the last 6 hours, and head-to-head favors them with 2 wins in the last 3 meetings. Implied probability of 60% undervalues their true win probability of ~68% based on sharp money flow and home splits.
28 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
Reading FC VS Wigan
Reading FC sits higher in the League One table with 55 points from 37 games (14W-13D-10L, +6 GD) compared to Wigan Athletic's 41 points from 36 games (10W-11D-15L, -12 GD), indicating stronger overall form and home advantage. Recent League One results show competitive mid-table battles, favoring Reading's better record. No clear sharp money or injury data available, but table metrics suggest value on Reading at 2.25 odds over implied ~44% probability.