05 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Al-Mokawloon Al-Arab VS Al-Ahly Cairo
Al-Ahly Cairo dominates with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 league matches and boasting top xG metrics (2.1 per game) against Al-Mokawloon's poor defensive xGA (1.8). Head-to-head record favors Al-Ahly with 7 wins in last 10 meetings, including 3-0 away victories. No major injuries reported for Al-Ahly in last 6 hours, while Al-Mokawloon misses key midfielder; odds imply 59.9% win probability, but true win % estimated at 68% based on advanced stats and no reverse line movement.
05 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Petrojet FC VS Talaea El Gaish
Petrojet FC holds a strong home record in the Egyptian Premier League with superior recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, while Talaea El Gaish has struggled away, losing 3 of their last 5 road games. Head-to-head shows Petrojet unbeaten in the last 3 meetings against El Gaish. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and advanced metrics indicate Petrojet's higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8) in recent fixtures. The 2.74 odds imply 36.5% win probability, but true win % estimated at 42% creates +EV.
05 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Haras El Hodood VS Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC dominate with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Haras El Hodood's 0.9) and recent form, winning 4 of last 5 league matches. Head-to-head record shows Pyramids unbeaten in last 5 vs Haras (3 wins, 2 draws), with strong away performance. No major injuries reported for Pyramids in last 6 hours, while Haras missing key defender; odds imply 67% win probability, but true win % estimated at 75% based on advanced stats and sharp money flow toward Pyramids despite stable line.
05 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Ceramica Cleopatra VS National Bank of Egypt
Ceramica Cleopatra holds a superior recent form with three wins in their last five league matches, compared to National Bank of Egypt's two wins and two losses, giving them a higher true win probability of around 45% versus the implied 40% from 2.48 odds. Head-to-head records show Cleopatra unbeaten in the last three meetings, including a 2-0 home win. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and advanced metrics indicate Cleopatra's stronger xG differential (1.4 vs 0.8 per game recently). Neutral venue conditions with no significant weather impact.
06 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
El Zamalek VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
El Zamalek holds a dominant home record and superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 league matches with high xG averages above 1.8 per game. Head-to-head vs Al Ittihad shows Zamalek unbeaten in the last 3 meetings, all at home. No major injuries reported for Zamalek in the last 6 hours, while Al Ittihad misses a key midfielder; odds imply 53.8% win probability but true win % estimated at 62% based on metrics and no reverse line movement favoring the away side.
06 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
El Gouna FC VS Wadi Degla SC
Wadi Degla SC shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to El Gouna FC's one win and two draws, supported by higher xG metrics (1.45 vs 1.12 per game). Head-to-head records favor Wadi Degla, winning two of the last three meetings, including a 2-1 away victory. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and neutral weather conditions with no referee biases noted. Implied probability of 36.4% undervalues their true win probability of 42% based on advanced metrics and sharp money leaning towards the away side.
06 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Al-Masry VS Ismaily SC
Al-Masry holds a dominant home record against Ismaily, winning 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads, with advanced metrics showing superior xG (1.8 vs 0.9 per game recently). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and Al-Masry's current form includes 3 wins in their last 5 league matches versus Ismaily's 1 win and 3 losses. No significant reverse line movement or sharp money on Ismaily despite public leaning, confirming value on Al-Masry's implied 58% probability against true win chance of ~68%. Weather in Port Said is clear with neutral referee tendencies.
07 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Kahrabaa Ismailia VS Enppi Club
Enppi Club shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches and a strong away record, while Kahrabaa Ismailia has struggled at home lately. Head-to-head favors Enppi with two wins in the last three meetings and better underlying xG metrics (1.65 vs 1.12 per game). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and market odds imply 38% win probability for Enppi, below their estimated true win % of 45% based on advanced stats and sharp money flow indicated by slight line movement toward Enppi despite public leaning on home team.
07 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Smouha SC VS Modern Future Sport FC
Smouha SC are the home team with superior recent form in the Egyptian Premier League, showing consistent defensive stability and goal-scoring efficiency. Modern Future Sport FC lack the established track record and consistency that Smouha demonstrates, making the home advantage decisive. At 2.72 odds, Smouha represents value given their stronger squad depth and home-field dominance in this matchup. The implied probability of 36.8% underestimates Smouha's true win percentage based on current form differential and venue advantage.
07 Mar 2026 | 07:30 PM
Ghazl El Mahallah VS Pharco FC
Ghazl El Mahallah holds a strong home advantage in the Egyptian Premier League with superior recent form, unbeaten in their last four home matches and better xG metrics (1.4 per game vs Pharco's 1.1). Head-to-head record favors Ghazl, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings, while Pharco struggles away (winless in last 5 road games). No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and no significant line movement or weather issues noted, supporting value on the home win at 2.56 odds with true win probability around 42% vs implied 39%.