08 Feb 2026 | 02:00 PM
APOEL Nicosia VS AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca shows strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs APOEL's 1.2), indicating better chance creation. Head-to-head record favors AEK with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 victory at APOEL's ground. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for AEK, while APOEL misses a key midfielder; reverse line movement towards AEK despite public money on home side suggests sharp action. Implied probability of 38% undervalues AEK's true win chance of ~45%.
08 Feb 2026 | 05:00 PM
Apollon Limassol VS Olympiakos Nicosia
Apollon Limassol holds a dominant home record in the Cypriot 1st Division, winning 70% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.1 average). Head-to-head shows Apollon unbeaten in last 4 vs Olympiakos Nicosia, including 3-1 and 2-0 wins. No major injuries reported for Apollon in last 6 hours; Olympiakos missing key midfielder per latest squad news. Odds imply 65% win probability, but true win % estimated at 72% based on form and metrics, creating +EV.
08 Feb 2026 | 05:00 PM
Pafos FC VS AC Omonia Nicosia
AC Omonia Nicosia shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and a dominant 3-1-0 record in the last 4 head-to-heads against Pafos FC, including a 2-0 away win. Advanced metrics favor Omonia with higher xG (1.8 vs 1.2 per game) and better away efficiency despite Pafos' home advantage. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Omonia players, while Pafos misses a starter; odds imply 38% win probability but true win % estimated at 45% creating +EV. Neutral weather and referee show no significant bias.
09 Feb 2026 | 05:00 PM
Aris Limassol VS Anorthosis Famagusta
Aris Limassol tops the league standings with 7 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, and +15 goal difference after 11 matches, far superior to Anorthosis Famagusta's poor 2-5-4 record and -9 goal difference. Recent form shows Aris strong despite a 2-1 loss to AEL on Feb 1, while Anorthosis struggles at the bottom. No recent injuries reported and home advantage bolsters Aris' **true win probability above 65%** vs. implied 65.4% from 1.53 odds, indicating value.
09 Feb 2026 | 05:00 PM
Digenis Ypsonas VS AEL Limassol
AEL Limassol is the away team but has shown stronger recent form and superior xG metrics compared to Digenis Ypsonas in the Cyprus First Division. Sharp money has reportedly moved toward AEL at 2.62, indicating professional backing despite being away. The odds offer +EV with AEL's true win probability estimated at 42% against an implied probability of 38%. Digenis has struggled at home with inconsistent defensive metrics while AEL maintains better efficiency ratings.
09 Feb 2026 | 05:00 PM
Omonia Aradippou VS Akritas Chloraka
Omonia Aradippou holds a strong home record in League 1st Division, winning 60% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.7 average vs Akritas' 1.1 away). Head-to-head shows Omonia unbeaten in last 3 meetings (2 wins, 1 draw), and no late injuries reported for key players in past 6 hours. Akritas struggles away (only 20% win rate last 5), with no reverse line movement indicating sharp support for home win. Implied probability of 48% undervalues Omonia's true 58% win chance based on form and metrics.