01 Mar 2026 | 10:30 PM
Nacional Montevideo VS CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction
Nacional Montevideo holds a strong home record against Penarol, winning 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads at this venue with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.2 average). Recent form shows Nacional unbeaten in 4 of last 5 matches, driven by key attackers in top shape, while Penarol has drawn 3 straight away games amid defensive vulnerabilities. No major injuries reported in last 6 hours for either side, and weather conditions are neutral with a standard referee. Implied probability of 41.5% undervalues Nacional's true win chance of ~48% based on advanced stats and sharp money favoring the home side.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
Full Time Result
Nacional Montevideo