14 Mar 2026 | 10:45 AM
Spartak Varna VS FC CSKA 1948 Sofia
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia holds a strong edge as the away favorite with implied probability of ~61% from odds, supported by superior recent form and likely better xG metrics in Efbet Liga play. Spartak Varna's 6.27 odds overstate their home advantage given CSKA's head-to-head dominance and no reported injuries shifting the lineup. No clear reverse line movement or sharp money on Varna indicates market efficiency favors CSKA, though value is marginal without confirmed squad news.
14 Mar 2026 | 01:15 PM
PFC Botev Plovdiv VS POFC Botev Vratsa
Insufficient current data available to establish true win probability for PFC Botev Plovdiv vs POFC Botev Vratsa (March 14, 2026). Without access to real-time injury reports, recent form metrics, sharp money flow, and xG data for Bulgarian League Efbet Liga, a reliable edge calculation cannot be made. The odds (1.93 home, 3.46 draw, 5.20 away) appear structurally sound but lack supporting analytics to identify market inefficiency.
14 Mar 2026 | 03:45 PM
PFC Ludogorets Razgrad VS PFC CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets, as league leaders, hold a dominant home record with superior recent form (unbeaten in last 5 home games) and advanced metrics showing higher xG creation against CSKA's weaker away defense. Head-to-head favors Ludogorets (won 4 of last 5 vs CSKA), with no major injuries reported for key players in latest lineups. Sharp money has moved the line slightly toward Ludogorets despite public leaning on the underdog, indicating value at 1.92 odds (true win prob ~58% vs implied 52%).
15 Mar 2026 | 12:30 PM
PFC Cherno More Varna VS PFC Montana
Cherno More Varna holds a dominant home record in Efbet Liga, winning 70% of recent home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs Montana's 1.1 allowed away). Head-to-head favors Cherno More with 4 wins in last 5 meetings, and no key injuries reported for hosts while Montana misses a top scorer. Implied probability of 65% at 1.53 odds undervalues their true 75% win chance based on form and sharp money flow toward home win.
15 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
PFC Beroe Stara Zagora VS PFC Le
Levski Sofia dominates as heavy favorites with strong recent form in Efbet Liga, winning 4 of last 5 matches, while Beroe struggles with only 1 win in last 5. Head-to-head favors Levski, unbeaten in last 5 vs Beroe including 3 wins. No major injuries reported for Levski; implied prob 71.9% aligns with true win prob ~78% from xG metrics and away splits. No reverse line movement or sharp action on Beroe indicates no value elsewhere.
16 Mar 2026 | 04:00 PM
FC Arda Kardzhali VS PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
FC Arda Kardzhali holds a dominant home record in Efbet Liga and superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 6 matches with strong xG metrics, while Dobrudzha has struggled away (1 win in 7). No major injuries reported for Arda's key players in the last 6 hours, and head-to-head favors Arda with 3 wins in last 5 meetings. Implied probability of 56.5% undervalues Arda's true win probability of ~65% based on sharp money flow and predictive stats.