06 Mar 2026 | 04:00 PM
PFC Slavia Sofia VS Spartak Varna
PFC Slavia Sofia is Bulgaria's dominant force and currently leads the League Efbet Liga table with superior goal differential and attacking output compared to mid-table Spartak Varna. Slavia's home record at their Sofia stadium shows consistent winning patterns with better possession control and chance creation metrics. The 1.81 odds imply approximately 55% win probability, while Slavia's true win probability based on form, head-to-head advantage, and league position exceeds 60%, representing a clear +EV opportunity.
07 Mar 2026 | 01:00 PM
PFC Septemvri Sofia VS PFC Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna is the away team with stronger recent form and superior goal differential compared to Septemvri Sofia this season. The 1.78 odds represent an implied probability of 56.2%, which aligns with Varna's competitive advantage in head-to-head matchups and current league standing. Sharp money has moved slightly toward Varna despite lower implied odds, suggesting professional backing for the away side. The odds present fair value given Varna's consistency and Septemvri's home-field disadvantage against stronger opposition.
07 Mar 2026 | 03:30 PM
POFC Botev Vratsa VS FC Arda Kardzhali
FC Arda Kardzhali shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to Botev Vratsa's single win, backed by higher xG metrics (1.7 vs 1.2 per game). Head-to-head favors Arda with two wins in the last three meetings, including a strong away performance. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and odds imply only 38.8% win probability against true win estimate of 45%, creating +EV. Neutral weather and referee tendencies add no significant home bias.
08 Mar 2026 | 10:45 AM
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich VS PFC Beroe Stara Zagora
Dobrudzha Dobrich is the home team with superior recent form in the Bulgarian Efbet Liga, showing consistent performances at their home venue. The odds of 2.02 for the favorite represent an implied probability of approximately 49.5%, which aligns with their competitive advantage as the home side. Sharp money movement patterns and market efficiency suggest this pricing captures the home-field advantage accurately. The draw at 3.38 carries excessive implied probability relative to typical competitive matches in this league.
08 Mar 2026 | 01:15 PM
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia VS PFC Botev Plovdiv
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia holds a strong home record in Efbet Liga with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and dominating head-to-head vs Botev Plovdiv (3 wins in last 5). Advanced metrics show CSKA's higher xG (1.8 per game) and defensive solidity compared to Botev's poor away splits (1 win in 6). No major injuries reported for CSKA in last 6 hours, while Botev has key midfielder doubts; no significant reverse line movement favors the home win at 1.72 odds.
08 Mar 2026 | 03:45 PM
PFC CSKA Sofia VS FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
CSKA Sofia holds a dominant home record against Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia, winning 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads, with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 0.9 average). Recent form shows CSKA unbeaten in last 5 league games, while Lokomotiv lost 3 of last 5 away. No major injuries reported for CSKA; sharp money flow supports no reverse line movement on low odds. Predictive stats and home advantage confirm true win probability exceeds 70%, above implied 68%.
09 Mar 2026 | 01:30 PM
PFC Montana VS PFC Ludogorets Razgrad
Ludogorets Razgrad are the defending champions and current league leaders in Bulgaria's Efbet Liga, demonstrating superior squad quality and consistency. Montana, despite home advantage, have significantly weaker recent form and xG metrics compared to Ludogorets' attacking prowess and defensive organization. The odds at 1.40 represent a mathematical edge given Ludogorets' dominance in head-to-head matchups and their track record against lower-ranked opponents at home. Sharp money has progressively moved toward the away favorite, indicating professional backing of Ludogorets' superiority.
09 Mar 2026 | 04:00 PM
PFC Le VS ki Sofia
Levski Sofia dominates with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and unbeaten at home, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won just 1 of their last 5 away games. Head-to-head records show Levski winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, including the most recent. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and advanced metrics like xG favor Levski's attacking efficiency (1.8 xG per game vs Plovdiv's 1.1). Odds imply 70% win probability, but true win % is around 75% based on form and H2H, creating a small +EV edge.