27 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
Standard Liege VS Raal La Louviere
Standard Liege holds a dominant head-to-head record against Raal La Louviere, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, with superior home xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.1). Recent form shows Standard unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Pro League matches, while Raal has lost 3 of their last 5 away games. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players, and no significant reverse line movement favors the underdog. Advanced metrics and home advantage create a true win probability of 48%, exceeding the implied 41% from odds.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
KV Mechelen VS SV Zulte Waregem
KV Mechelen holds a superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches and a strong home record, outpacing Zulte Waregem who have struggled away with only one win in their last six road games. Head-to-head data shows Mechelen unbeaten in the last three meetings against Zulte Waregem. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and advanced metrics indicate Mechelen's higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.7 per game recently). No significant reverse line movement or weather impacts noted.
28 Feb 2026 | 05:15 PM
Royal Antwerp FC VS Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV shows superior recent form with three wins in their last five matches compared to Royal Antwerp's two wins and one draw, backed by higher xG differential (1.4 vs 0.9) in those games. Head-to-head records favor STVV with two wins in the last three meetings, including a strong away performance. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key STVV players, and reverse line movement indicates sharp money on STVV despite public leaning towards Antwerp. True win probability estimated at 42%, exceeding the implied 38.9% from odds, creating +EV.
28 Feb 2026 | 07:45 PM
RSC Anderlecht VS Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Anderlecht holds a dominant head-to-head record against Leuven, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, with strong home xG performance averaging 2.1 per game. Recent form shows Anderlecht unbeaten in their last 5 league matches (4 wins, 1 draw), while Leuven has won just 1 of their last 5 away games. No major injuries reported for Anderlecht in the last 6 hours, and market odds imply 56% win probability, aligning with their true win probability of around 62% based on advanced metrics and home splits. Absent reverse line movement suggests no sharp money on Leuven.
01 Mar 2026 | 12:30 PM
KRC Genk VS KAA Gent
KRC Genk holds a strong home advantage in the Belgian Pro League with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and generating higher xG (1.8 per game vs Gent's 1.2). Head-to-head records favor Genk, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Gent, including both home games. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for Genk, while Gent misses a key midfielder; market shows slight reverse line movement toward Genk despite public leaning on the draw.
01 Mar 2026 | 03:00 PM
KVC Westerlo VS Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise are heavy favorites with superior recent form and stronger league position in the Belgian Pro League. The odds of 1.78 reflect Union's dominance, with an implied probability of 56.2% that aligns with their current quality gap over Westerlo. Sharp money appears to be backing Union given the tight odds despite their clear advantage, suggesting fair value at current pricing. Home advantage for Westerlo provides minimal edge given the significant quality differential between these teams.
01 Mar 2026 | 05:30 PM
Royal Charleroi SC VS Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV holds a dominant head-to-head record against Charleroi, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings with superior xG metrics (1.8 vs 1.1 average). Recent form favors Brugge with 4 wins in their last 5 league games and no key injuries in the last 6 hours, while Charleroi has lost 3 straight home matches against top teams. Sharp money has moved the line from 2.05 to 1.95 despite public betting on the home side, indicating reverse line movement and market inefficiency. Predictive models give Brugge a 58% true win probability vs the implied 51% at current odds, creating +EV.
01 Mar 2026 | 06:15 PM
Cercle Brugge KSV VS FCV Dender EH
Cercle Brugge is the home team with superior recent form in the Belgian Pro League, showing stronger attacking output and defensive stability compared to Dender. The odds of 1.78 reflect Cercle's competitive advantage, with an implied probability of 56.2% matching their expected win percentage based on current metrics. Sharp money has consistently supported the home side, with no significant reverse line movement indicating value erosion. Dender's away record this season shows significant struggles, making the Cercle Brugge moneyline the optimal value bet.