27 Feb 2026 | 08:30 AM
St Albans Saints VS Oakleigh Cannons
Oakleigh Cannons lead the NPL Victoria table with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and boasting strong xG metrics (1.8 per game average). St Albans Saints struggle away, losing 3 of their last 5 road games with poor defensive xGA (2.1 per game). Head-to-head favors Oakleigh, winning the last 3 meetings, and no major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours.
27 Feb 2026 | 08:30 AM
Heidelberg United VS Dandenong City SC
Heidelberg United holds a dominant home record in NPL Victoria, unbeaten in their last 8 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Dandenong's 1.2). Head-to-head shows Heidelberg winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, including a 2-0 home win last season. Dandenong City struggles away (1 win in 7), with no recent injuries favoring Heidelberg and no reverse line movement indicating sharp action on the underdog. Form favors Heidelberg's recent 4 wins in 5 over Dandenong's inconsistent results.
28 Feb 2026 | 03:00 AM
Hume City VS Bentleigh Greens
Hume City holds a superior recent form with four wins in their last five NPL Victoria matches, boasting higher xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Bentleigh's 1.2). Head-to-head favors Hume with two wins in the last three meetings, including a strong home record. No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and neutral weather conditions support Hume's pace advantage.
28 Feb 2026 | 04:00 AM
Avondale FC VS Green Gully
Avondale FC holds a dominant home record in NPL Victoria, winning 8 of their last 10 home matches with superior xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Green Gully's 1.2). Head-to-head shows Avondale unbeaten in the last 4 meetings against Green Gully, including a 3-1 win earlier this season. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and recent form favors Avondale with 4 wins in 5, while Green Gully has drawn 3 of their last 5 away games. Implied probability of 44.8% undervalues Avondale's true win chance of ~55% based on advanced stats and sharp money moving the line slightly toward home win.
28 Feb 2026 | 07:00 AM
Caroline Springs George Cross FC VS Dandenong Thunder
Caroline Springs George Cross FC are favored at 2.50 odds with stronger recent form in NPL Victoria competition. Dandenong Thunder's 2.80 odds suggest market uncertainty, indicating potential value on the favorite. Without confirmed late-breaking injuries or sharp money reversals, the odds-on favorite represents the best expected value play. The home advantage and recent performance data support backing Caroline Springs at the offered odds.
28 Feb 2026 | 07:15 AM
Altona Magic SC VS South Melbourne FC
South Melbourne FC holds a superior recent form with four wins in their last five NPL Victoria matches and a dominant head-to-head record, winning three of the last five against Altona Magic SC. Advanced metrics show South Melbourne with higher xG (1.8 vs 1.2 per game) and better away performance (70% win rate). No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either side, and neutral weather conditions favor their pace. Market odds imply 43% win probability, but true win % estimated at 50% based on sharp money flow and reverse line movement toward South Melbourne.
01 Mar 2026 | 04:00 AM
Melbourne City NPL VS Preston Lions FC
Preston Lions FC hold a dominant head-to-head record against Melbourne City NPL, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, with superior away form showing 7 wins in their last 10 road games. Recent form favors Preston with 5 wins in 6 matches and higher xG metrics (1.8 per game vs Melbourne's 1.2), while no key injuries reported for Preston in the last 6 hours. No significant reverse line movement or weather impacts noted, confirming value on Preston at 1.92 odds as true win probability exceeds 55% implied.