01 Mar 2026 | 07:45 PM
Olympique Marseille VS Olympique Lyonnais Prediction
Olympique Marseille holds home advantage at Stade Velodrome with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, while Lyon has struggled with only 2 wins in their last 5. Head-to-head records favor Marseille, who won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 victory at home last season. Advanced xG metrics show Marseille generating 1.8 xG per game at home versus Lyon's 1.2 xG away, with no major injuries reported for key Marseille players in the last 6 hours. Odds at 2.07 imply 48% win probability, but true win % estimated at 55% based on form and metrics, creating +EV.
AI-driven insights suggest this as the most probable outcome
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