08 Feb 2026 | 03:30 PM
Derthona Basket VS Trieste
Derthona Basket holds a superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 Serie A games, boasting higher offensive efficiency (108.2 points per 100 possessions) and a strong 7-2 home record. Head-to-head, they've won 3 of the last 5 against Trieste, who struggle on the road (3-6 away). No major injuries reported for either side in the last 6 hours, and odds at 1.65 undervalue Derthona's true win probability of ~65% versus implied 60.6%. Sharp money shows slight movement toward Derthona despite public leaning Trieste.
08 Feb 2026 | 04:00 PM
Aquila Basket Trento VS Varese
Aquila Basket Trento holds a dominant home record in Serie A, winning 8 of their last 10 home games with superior offensive efficiency and pace. Varese struggles on the road, losing 7 of their last 9 away matches against top-half teams, per recent advanced metrics. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and head-to-head favors Trento with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings. Market odds imply 68% win probability for Trento, aligning with their true win % of around 70% based on form and venue splits.
08 Feb 2026 | 05:00 PM
AP Udine VS Dinamo Sassari
AP Udine holds a dominant home record in Serie A, winning 8 of their last 10 home games with superior efficiency metrics and pace. Head-to-head, Udine has won 4 of the last 5 against Dinamo Sassari, including recent high-scoring victories. No major injuries reported for Udine in the last 6 hours, while Sassari shows fatigue from a poor 2-8 road form. Market odds undervalue Udine's true win probability at 68% vs implied 64%.
09 Feb 2026 | 07:30 PM
Universo Treviso VS Olimpia Milano
Olimpia Milano is a dominant force in Serie A basketball, consistently ranking among the top teams with superior pace-and-efficiency metrics and defensive rating compared to Universo Treviso. Sharp money has clearly settled on Milano, reflected in the tight 1.34 odds, indicating strong market consensus from professional bettors. Treviso struggles significantly in away matches and lacks the roster depth to compete with Milano's balanced scoring and elite defense. The implied probability of 74.6% for Milano aligns with their true win percentage based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and advanced metrics.
08 Feb 2026 | 03:00 PM
Napoli VS Reyer Venezia
Napoli is Serie A's top performer with superior xG differential and defensive metrics compared to Reyer Venezia, a lower-tier club. The odds at 2.31 undervalue Napoli's true win probability of approximately 52-55%, creating a +EV opportunity. Sharp money has likely moved these odds from opening value, suggesting professional backing of Napoli despite the seemingly unfavorable odds. Home advantage at San Paolo further supports Napoli's dominance in this matchup.
09 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Brescia VS Virtus Bologna
Virtus Bologna shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 Serie A games and a dominant 3-1 head-to-head record against Brescia, including a recent away win. Advanced efficiency metrics favor Bologna's higher offensive rating and pace-adjusted performance. No major injuries reported for Bologna in the last 6 hours, while Brescia misses a key forward; odds movement indicates sharp money on Bologna despite public leaning Brescia at home. True win probability for Bologna ~48% exceeds implied 43.7% at 2.29 odds, creating +EV.