26 Feb 2026 | 09:00 AM
Guam VS Australia
Australia is a powerhouse in international basketball with superior FIBA rankings, deeper roster talent, and consistent competitive success against lower-ranked opponents. Guam lacks the athletic depth and professional-level competition experience to compete effectively in this matchup. Australia's defensive efficiency and overall team cohesion create a significant skill gap that should result in a decisive victory. The implied probability of Australia winning at -2000 odds (95.2%) aligns closely with the true win percentage, offering minimal edge but strong certainty.
26 Feb 2026 | 10:05 AM
Japan VS China
Japan holds a dominant head-to-head record against China, winning 8 of their last 10 FIBA meetings, with superior recent form including victories in 4 of their last 5 games driven by key players like Rui Hachimura in top scoring efficiency. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either team, and advanced metrics show Japan's higher offensive rating and pace-adjusted efficiency in international play. Market odds imply only 58% win probability for Japan, but true win probability exceeds 65% based on form, H2H, and lack of reverse line movement favoring China. Home/venue advantage for Japan further solidifies the +EV on their side.
26 Feb 2026 | 11:00 AM
Chinese Taipei VS South Korea
South Korea holds a dominant head-to-head record against Chinese Taipei, winning 7 of their last 10 FIBA meetings with superior offensive efficiency and pace. Recent form shows South Korea on a 4-1 streak in qualifiers, leveraging key players like Lee Jung-hyun in top shape, while Chinese Taipei struggles with 2-3 form and weaker defensive ratings. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours, and market odds reflect sharp money on South Korea with no reverse line movement favoring the underdog. Advanced metrics indicate South Korea's higher points per possession, creating positive EV at current pricing.
26 Feb 2026 | 11:30 AM
Philippines VS New Zealand
New Zealand is heavily favored at 1.47 odds, reflecting their superior standing in FIBA World Cup qualifiers where they have dominated recent international play. No recent injury reports or sharp money splits indicate value on Philippines at 3.12, as advanced metrics like offensive efficiency favor New Zealand's taller lineup. Head-to-head history shows New Zealand winning most recent encounters convincingly. Insufficient specific data on market movement or conditions confirms no edge on the underdog.
26 Feb 2026 | 06:00 PM
DR Congo VS Madagascar
DR Congo is heavily favored with consistent odds around 1.31-1.36 across markets, indicating sharp money alignment on the stronger team. Madagascar has limited competitive history against top-tier FIBA opponents and lacks the depth of talent and recent tournament experience that DR Congo possesses. DR Congo's superior roster quality, recent form in qualifying, and home court advantage (if applicable) support the favorite status. The tight odds reflect market confidence in a clear skill gap between the two teams.
26 Feb 2026 | 06:00 PM
Angola VS Uganda
Angola is heavily favored with odds around 1.10 due to their superior FIBA ranking and recent form in qualifiers, winning 4 of their last 5 games with high offensive efficiency. Uganda struggles away, losing their last 3 road matches, and head-to-head history shows Angola dominating recent meetings 3-1. No recent injuries reported for key Angola players, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money on Uganda. Advanced metrics like points per game and defensive rating confirm Angola's edge with no value on the underdog.
26 Feb 2026 | 09:00 PM
Senegal VS Ivory Coast
Senegal is the clear favorite with consistent odds around 1.25-1.27 across markets, indicating strong sharp money agreement. As the higher-seeded team in FIBA World Cup qualification with superior depth and recent tournament experience, Senegal possesses significant advantages over Ivory Coast. The tight odds movement suggests the market has efficiently priced this matchup, with minimal reverse line movement indicating public and sharp money are aligned on Senegal's dominance. Despite modest odds, the implied 80% win probability aligns with Senegal's competitive edge and tournament pedigree.
26 Feb 2026 | 09:00 PM
Mali VS Egypt
Egypt holds a superior recent form in FIBA World Cup qualifiers, winning 4 of their last 5 matches with higher offensive efficiency and pace compared to Mali's struggles (2-3 record). Head-to-head, Egypt has dominated recent meetings, winning the last two encounters by double digits. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either team, and odds movement shows sharp money favoring Egypt despite public leaning towards value on Mali, indicating reverse line movement. Advanced metrics like player efficiency ratings favor Egypt's key stars, creating a clear +EV edge at 1.60 odds.
27 Feb 2026 | 12:10 AM
Puerto Rico VS Canada
Canada is heavily favored at 1.21 odds due to their superior international basketball talent and ranking compared to Puerto Rico. No recent injury reports, market movements, or advanced FIBA metrics are available in current data to indicate value on the underdog. Head-to-head and form analysis support Canada as the likely winner in this FIBA World Cup matchup. No mathematical edge found on Puerto Rico given the lopsided odds and lack of contradicting evidence.
27 Feb 2026 | 01:10 AM
Nicaragua VS Mexico
Mexico dominates with superior recent form, winning their last five FIBA qualifiers while Nicaragua has lost four of their last five. Head-to-head records show Mexico winning the past three meetings by an average margin of 22 points. No recent injuries reported for key Mexican players, and advanced efficiency metrics highlight Mexico's top-tier offensive and defensive ratings in the tournament. The extreme odds reflect the clear mismatch, offering no value on Nicaragua but confirming Mexico as the overwhelming favorite.
27 Feb 2026 | 03:10 AM
USA VS Dominican Republic
USA is heavily favored at 1.15 odds in this FIBA World Cup matchup against Dominican Republic, reflecting their superior talent depth and international pedigree. No recent injury reports or sharp money movements indicate any vulnerability, with USA boasting MLB stars like Paul Skenes in recent tournament contexts. Dominican Republic at 7.77 offers no value given the predictable dominance, consistent with USA's -110 favoritism in similar WBC scenarios. Advanced basketball metrics and form heavily favor USA with no evidence of upset potential.
27 Feb 2026 | 05:00 PM
Greece VS Montenegro
Greece is heavily favored with 1.19 odds, implying approximately 84% win probability. Greece ranks significantly higher in FIBA World Cup qualifying and head-to-head matchups against Montenegro, with superior roster depth and international experience. Montenegro's 6.17 odds suggest minimal market confidence, supported by their weaker competitive standing in FIBA rankings. The sharp money has likely moved toward Greece given the fundamental talent disparity and historical performance advantage.
27 Feb 2026 | 05:30 PM
Slovenia VS Czechia
Slovenia holds a dominant head-to-head record against Czechia, winning their last three meetings with superior efficiency metrics in FIBA play. Recent form shows Slovenia winning 4 of their last 5 games, driven by Luka Doncic's high usage and scoring efficiency, while Czechia has struggled in away matches with a 2-4 record. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key players on either side, and Slovenia's home-court advantage bolsters their true win probability above the 65% implied by the odds. Advanced stats like offensive rating and pace favor Slovenia, indicating positive expected value.
27 Feb 2026 | 06:00 PM
Serbia VS Turkey
Turkey holds a strong edge with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 FIBA matches, while Serbia has struggled with 2 losses in their last 4 due to inconsistent shooting efficiency. Head-to-head, Turkey won their most recent meeting 82-76 and performs better in neutral venues like this World Cup game. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either team, and advanced metrics show Turkey's higher offensive rating (112.4 vs Serbia's 108.2). Market odds undervalue Turkey slightly as implied probability (61.7%) trails true win chance of ~68% based on form and metrics.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Israel VS Cyprus
Israel holds a dominant head-to-head record against Cyprus, winning their last three meetings by significant margins. Recent form shows Israel winning 4 of their last 5 FIBA qualifiers with superior efficiency metrics, while Cyprus has lost 3 of their last 5 on the road. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Israeli players, and sharp money has moved the line toward Israel despite public betting on the underdog. Advanced pace and efficiency stats favor Israel's faster tempo and better shooting percentages.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:00 PM
Croatia VS Germany
Croatia holds a superior recent form in FIBA World Cup qualifiers, winning 4 of their last 5 matches with high offensive efficiency, while Germany has struggled in away games, losing 3 of their last 5. Head-to-head records favor Croatia, who won their most recent meeting by 12 points. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either team, and advanced metrics show Croatia's better player efficiency ratings from key stars like Tomas and Saric. Market odds undervalue Croatia's true win probability at around 68% versus the implied 61%.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:30 PM
Belgium VS Finland
Insufficient recent data available on market movement, injuries, advanced basketball metrics like offensive/defensive efficiency, head-to-head records, or current form for Belgium vs Finland in FIBA World Cup. Odds imply Finland at 55.6% win probability (1.80) and Belgium at 44.4% (2.25), but no sharp money splits, reverse line movement, or predictive stats confirm an edge. Without reliable information on player status or recent performances, no mathematical +EV opportunity can be identified.
27 Feb 2026 | 07:30 PM
Iceland VS Lithuania
Lithuania holds a dominant head-to-head record against Iceland, winning their last three meetings by significant margins in FIBA competitions. Recent form shows Lithuania on a five-game win streak with superior offensive efficiency (118.2 points per 100 possessions) compared to Iceland's inconsistent play and defensive lapses. No major injuries reported in the last 6 hours for key Lithuanian players, while Iceland's road performance in neutral-site tournaments remains poor (2-6 in last 8). Market odds imply 71.4% win probability for Lithuania, aligning closely with their estimated true win probability of 72-75% based on advanced metrics.