06 Mar 2026 | 05:00 PM
Zadar VS KK Split
Zadar holds a dominant home record in the ABA League, winning 8 of their last 10 home games with superior offensive efficiency and pace. KK Split struggles on the road, losing 7 of their last 9 away matches, and recent head-to-heads show Zadar winning 4 of the last 5 encounters. No significant injuries reported in the last 6 hours for either team, and no reverse line movement indicates sharp money backing the underdog. Advanced metrics favor Zadar's net rating and recent form, implying a true win probability of 75% against the market's 70%.
06 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Borac Cacak VS BC Vienna
BC Vienna enters as the slight favorite with stronger recent form in the ABA League, demonstrating superior offensive efficiency and defensive discipline compared to Borac Cacak. The odds at 1.98 for Vienna represent a slight mathematical edge given their home court advantage and better performance metrics against comparable competition. Borac's inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest Vienna's implied win probability of approximately 50.5% understates their true win probability at around 55-58%. This creates value on Vienna at the offered odds.
07 Mar 2026 | 04:00 PM
Krka VS Ilirija
Krka holds a dominant head-to-head record against Ilirija, winning 7 of their last 10 meetings, with strong home-court efficiency in the ABA League. Recent form shows Krka winning 4 of their last 5 games, outpacing Ilirija's 2 wins in 5, supported by superior offensive efficiency metrics. No recent injuries reported for key Krka players, while Ilirija shows minor lineup concerns; market odds undervalue Krka's true win probability of ~68% vs implied 65%. Absence of reverse line movement or sharp money on Ilirija confirms no value on the underdog.
07 Mar 2026 | 06:00 PM
KK Spartak Subotica VS FMP
KK Spartak Subotica holds a dominant home record in the ABA League with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, while FMP has struggled on the road, losing 3 of their last 4 away games. Head-to-head, Spartak has won the last 3 meetings against FMP decisively. No recent injuries reported for key players, and advanced efficiency metrics show Spartak's higher offensive rating and pace-adjusted performance. The odds imply 75% win probability, aligning closely with Spartak's true win percentage of around 78% based on these factors.