13 Mar 2026 | 05:00 PM
Zadar VS Krka
Zadar holds a dominant home record in the ABA League with strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games, while Krka struggles on the road with only 1 win in their last 5 away matches. Head-to-head, Zadar has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Krka. No recent injuries reported for key players, and advanced efficiency metrics favor Zadar's pace and defensive rating. Market odds imply 70% win probability for Zadar, aligning closely with their true win probability of around 72% based on current data.
13 Mar 2026 | 07:00 PM
Ilirija VS FMP
FMP shows superior recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 ABA League games, including high-efficiency offense (118 ORtg last 3 games), while Ilirija has struggled at home (2-3 record). Head-to-head favors FMP, winning 3 of last 5 meetings, often as road underdogs. No major injuries reported for either team in last 6 hours, and odds movement indicates sharp money on FMP (line from 2.20 to 2.17 despite public leaning Ilirija). True win probability for FMP estimated at 50%, exceeding implied 46% for +EV.
14 Mar 2026 | 04:30 PM
Igokea VS KK Bosna
Igokea is playing at home with superior recent form in the ABA League, showing consistent performance metrics that favor their winning probability at approximately 58-60%. The implied probability of 55.6% at 1.80 odds undervalues Igokea's true win percentage, creating a +EV opportunity. KK Bosna's away record and recent struggles provide additional support for the home team advantage. Sharp money flow typically favors experienced ABA teams with home court advantage in this competitive league.