Most models slightly favor Keegan Smith to win this USA league match, as he is higher ranked and more experienced on hard courts than Luca Pow, who is still transitioning from the ITF and Challenger levels. As of the latest lines this month, typical moneyline prices have been hovering around 1.70 for Smith and 2.10 for Pow, reflecting Smith’s edge in serve-dominant conditions with DexWin - Best Odds on Your Favourite Sports.

The Keegan Smith vs Luca Pow match is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM local time on January 10, 2026, which corresponds to 3:30 PM EST if played on the U.S. East Coast or 12:30 PM PST if scheduled on the West Coast. Always check the live schedule on match day for any shifts due to previous matches running long.

This USA league tennis match between Keegan Smith and Luca Pow is expected to be played on an outdoor hard court at a mid-sized U.S. tennis venue, typically featuring a capacity in the low thousands with standard hard-court speed and medium-to-high bounce. Such venues usually offer good serving conditions with minimal wind interference, favoring aggressive baseline players with strong first serves.

Prediction: Keegan Smith to win in straight or four sets if it is a best-of-five format, or in two tight sets in a best-of-three, driven by his stronger serve numbers and higher first-serve points won in recent matches. Odds around 1.70 for Smith and 2.10 for Pow imply roughly a 58–60% implied probability for Smith, with a potential value angle on Smith if pre-match warm-up and recent form look solid.

There is no significant official head-to-head record between Keegan Smith and Luca Pow at the ATP Tour or major Challenger level in the last month, suggesting this is likely their first competitive meeting at this tier. Any prior encounters would have come in lower-level ITF or qualifying draws and have not been prominent enough to materially influence current odds or analytical models.