China (W) is slightly favored to win based on recent form, including a pre-tournament friendly victory over Kazakhstan (W), and their second-place finish in last year's Asia Championship. No specific odds from reputable sportsbooks are available in the last 30 days, but historical data and recent results suggest China has a narrow edge.

The match starts at 12:30 PM local time (UTC+6) on November 7, 2025, in Oskemen, Kazakhstan.

The venue is in Oskemen, Kazakhstan, which is considered the historic heart of Kazakh hockey. Specific stadium details are not provided in recent sources, but the city is known for its strong hockey tradition and passionate home support.

China (W) is predicted to win with a close margin, given their recent head-to-head success and Kazakhstan's struggles to convert power play opportunities in the pre-tournament friendly. No current odds are available from major sportsbooks, but China's consistency and recent results make them the safer pick.

In their last five meetings at the IIHF World Championship Division I level, China (W) and Kazakhstan (W) are tied with 2 wins each and 1 draw. The most recent encounter on April 12, 2022, saw China win 6-2, but Kazakhstan had previously won 2-1 in 2019. The overall head-to-head is very balanced, with both teams capable of winning on any given day.